2026 MATRIXWEEK 1138 FBS TEAMS91 GAMESCOLLEGE FOOTBALL DECODEDMODEL + MARKET + CONTEXT
GameDay Matrix
Conference Intelligence · American

American Matrix

Current team strength, projected path, Week 0 movement and the Week 1 board — with preseason title probabilities visibly separated from current model state.

14 Teams0 MPR Top 2514 Week 1 Games1 Certified Week 0 Moves
Current MPR LeaderMemphisNational #63 · MPR 1.6
Projected Wins LeaderMemphis8.51 expected wins
Conference Avg MPR-7.614-team current average
National Top 250By current MPR rank
Week 0 Reviews11 cleared update gate
Conference Headlines

Latest American news and movement.

Publisher headlines · auto-updating
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Current Strength

Team-by-Team Outlook

Conference rank is based on current MPR. Projected Wins and SOS describe the path. Title probabilities are preseason references.

14 American teams
RankTeamMPRProj WinsSOSTitle Game*Move
#1 MemphisNational #63 · 1-0 1.6MPR 8.51Proj Wins #86SOS 25%Title Game* ▲ +2.5
#2 NavyNational #65 · 0-0 1.2MPR 8.04Proj Wins #84SOS 49%Title Game*
#3 UTSANational #73 · 0-0 -1.3MPR 7.52Proj Wins #83SOS 27%Title Game*
#4 East CarolinaNational #76 · 0-0 -1.9MPR 7.63Proj Wins #99SOS 30%Title Game*
#5 South FloridaNational #78 · 0-0 -2.1MPR 8.00Proj Wins #112SOS 15%Title Game*
#6 ArmyNational #81 · 0-0 -2.5MPR 7.14Proj Wins #80SOS 17%Title Game*
#7 TulaneNational #86 · 0-0 -4.9MPR 6.63Proj Wins #96SOS 15%Title Game*
#8 Florida AtlanticNational #93 · 0-0 -6.3MPR 6.19Proj Wins #89SOS 5%Title Game*
#9 TulsaNational #96 · 0-0 -7.0MPR 6.26Proj Wins #104SOS 8%Title Game*
#10 TempleNational #101 · 0-0 -8.4MPR 5.63Proj Wins #90SOS 5%Title Game*
#11 North TexasNational #109 · 0-0 -11.1MPR 5.02Proj Wins #85SOS 4%Title Game*
#12 RiceNational #121 · 0-0 -14.3MPR 3.55Proj Wins #75SOS 1%Title Game*
#13 UABNational #124 · 0-0 -17.7MPR 3.48Proj Wins #97SOS 0%Title Game*
#14 CharlotteNational #138 · 0-0 -31.9MPR 0.78Proj Wins #81SOS 0%Title Game*
Data-vintage rule: MPR, national rank and projected wins reflect the current approved Week 1 team state. Title-game and conference-champion probabilities remain the certified preseason simulation.
Evidence In

Week 0 Matrix Moves

Every American team that played in Week 0 is shown, including results reviewed without a strength adjustment.

Week 1 Locked

American Games on the Board

Current locked Week 1 GameDay Matrix projections for every game involving a American team.

SAT, SEP 5Medium
21–34
FavoriteDuke 81%
Projected Total55.9
THU, SEP 3Medium
14–43
FavoriteIllinois 98%
Projected Total56.9
SAT, SEP 5Low
Rhode Island
22–34
FavoriteTemple 79%
Projected Total56.0
SAT, SEP 5Medium
UT Rio Grande Valley
15–42
FavoriteUTSA 96%
Projected Total57.1
SAT, SEP 5Medium
Towson
11–42
FavoriteNavy 98%
Projected Total53.2
SAT, SEP 5Medium
Bryant
17–35
FavoriteArmy 88%
Projected Total52.0
SAT, SEP 5Low
Houston Christian
9–41
FavoriteRice 98%
Projected Total50.4
SAT, SEP 5Low
The Citadel
21–31
FavoriteCharlotte 73%
Projected Total52.3
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