56 published forecasts with recorded market comparisons. Injury and weather factors appear with each matchup.
Player availability and weather factors for the published forecasts, with dated sources.
Delaware’s October 26 preview says Nick Minicucci returned after missing two games through injury and threw five touchdowns against Missouri State. NWS game-window forecast: wind 0–1 mph, 60–71°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 26 (ET)
The Sun Belt’s October 26 initial report lists Troy quarterback Goose Crowder probable; James Madison quarterback Tanner Vibabul doubtful. NWS game-window forecast: wind 0–1 mph, 53–65°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 26 (ET)
Baylor announced October 25 that Dave Aranda was relieved of his duties. Defensive coordinator Joe Klanderman is interim head coach for the rest of the season. UCF’s October 26 update identifies Keyone Jenkins as the quarterback who threw for 293 yards and accounted for four touchdowns in the win over BYU. This dated performance is separate from Friday’s availability report. Current official report: UCF QB Alonza Barnett III questionable. NWS game-window forecast: wind 10–15 mph, gusts up to 23 mph, 74–78°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 30 (ET)
ESPN reported October 30 that Texas Tech plans significant snaps for both Thomas Castellanos and Will Hammond against Arizona, with an increased role for Castellanos. NWS game-window forecast: wind 5 mph, 56–58°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 30 (ET)
California used Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele for 37 pass attempts on October 24, after Jackson Brousseau led its previous game. That participation does not confirm the Week 9 starter or availability. NC State announced October 24 that Dave Doeren was relieved of his duties and Todd Goebbel will serve as interim head coach for the rest of the season. NWS game-window forecast: wind 8–9 mph, 64–67°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 30 (ET)
Syracuse’s October 30 preview describes Steve Angeli’s return as starter against North Carolina. The current ACC report lists Angeli questionable, with Amari Odom and Malachi Nelson out.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 30 (ET)
Iowa coach Kirk Ferentz said October 27 that the plan is to start Hank Brown, with the position evaluated through the week. Iowa also announced running back Kamari Moulton will miss the rest of the season. NWS game-window forecast: wind 5 mph, precipitation chance up to 35%, 57–61°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 30 (ET)
Illinois’ October 26 preview says Katin Houser will miss an extended period with a broken hand. Michael Clayton II led the passing in the win over Oregon. Maryland will play its first game under interim head coach Aazaar Abdul-Rahim. Current official report: Illinois QB Katin Houser doubtful. NWS game-window forecast: wind 5–6 mph, 59–63°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 30 (ET)
NWS game-window forecast: wind 13–14 mph, gusts up to 22 mph, precipitation chance up to 21%, a thunderstorm chance, 82–85°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 30 (ET)
Michigan’s October 26 notes confirm Tommy Carr made his first career start against Indiana, completing 20 of 32 passes. The reviewed notes do not announce Michigan’s starter against Rutgers. Rutgers used AJ Surace for 18 pass attempts on October 24, after Dylan Lonergan led its previous game. That participation does not confirm the Week 9 starter or availability. Current official report: Rutgers QB Dylan Lonergan out. NWS game-window forecast: wind 5 mph, 57–62°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 30 (ET)
Pete Golding said October 26 that running back Kewan Lacy will miss the Auburn game after dislocating his shoulder against Texas. NWS game-window forecast: wind 5 mph, 71–74°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 30 (ET)
Old Dominion used Jaxon Potter for 34 pass attempts on October 24, after Ryan Huff led its previous game. That participation does not confirm the Week 9 starter or availability. Current official report: Old Dominion QB Quinn Henicle doubtful. NWS game-window forecast: wind 10–12 mph, gusts up to 18 mph, 60–61°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 30 (ET)
Kansas State’s October 30 update says Avery Johnson is out and Jacob Knuth is doubtful with ankle sprains. The reviewed update leaves Blake Barnett and Dillon Duff as possible replacements without naming a starter. Current official report: Colorado QB Julian Lewis out. NWS game-window forecast: wind 3–5 mph, 57–63°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 30 (ET)
Georgia State’s October 24 recap identifies Ayden Pereira as its passing leader against Arkansas State, following Cameran Brown’s heavier passing workload in the previous game. A Week 9 starter is not confirmed in the reviewed sources. Current official report: Georgia State QB Cameran Brown doubtful. NWS game-window forecast: wind 15 mph, gusts up to 26 mph, 71–73°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 30 (ET)
Air Force’s October 26 notes say Evan Medders left the Wyoming game injured. Howard Fisher IV then recorded a career-high seven pass attempts. The reviewed notes do not confirm Air Force’s quarterback role against UConn. NWS game-window forecast: wind 5 mph, 61–62°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 31 (ET)
East Carolina used Mitch Griffis for 26 pass attempts on October 22, after Emory Williams led its previous game. That participation does not confirm the Week 9 starter or availability. NWS game-window forecast: wind 7–10 mph, gusts up to 17 mph, 65–68°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 31 (ET)
NWS game-window forecast: wind 10 mph, gusts up to 20 mph, precipitation chance up to 22%, a thunderstorm chance, 80–81°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 31 (ET)
Florida’s October 31 game-day preview says Aaron Philo is set to start against Georgia. The current SEC report lists Philo and Tramell Jones Jr. available. That availability status does not establish workload.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 31 (ET)
Current official report: Arizona State QB Mikey Keene game time decision. NWS game-window forecast: wind 3 mph, precipitation chance up to 29%, a thunderstorm chance, 59–61°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 31 (ET)
Current official report: Kansas QB Isaiah Marshall game time decision. NWS game-window forecast: wind 0–5 mph, 75°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 31 (ET)
Indiana’s October 26 press conference acknowledges Josh Hoover played hurt at Michigan. Curt Cignetti expects him to be better this week; that expectation is separate from a game-day availability report. Current official report: Minnesota QB Michael Merdinger out. The current official report lists Indiana QB Josh Hoover available. NWS game-window forecast: wind 3–6 mph, 68–70°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 31 (ET)
Dan Lanning said October 26 that Dante Moore is not expected to return this season. Jay Johnson will coordinate Oregon’s offense after Drew Mehringer’s dismissal. The reviewed announcement does not name Oregon’s Week 9 starter. Current official report: Oregon QB Dante Moore out. NWS game-window forecast: wind 1–2 mph, 47–53°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 31 (ET)
Colorado State’s October 30 preview describes Hauss Hejny and K’saan Farrar splitting time. Hejny threw all 31 team pass attempts against San Diego State after Farrar led the previous game; that dated usage does not confirm Saturday’s starter. NWS game-window forecast: wind 3 mph, precipitation chance up to 29%, a thunderstorm chance, 52–57°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 31 (ET)
NWS game-window forecast: wind 5 mph, precipitation chance up to 31%, a thunderstorm chance, 74–76°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 31 (ET)
San Jose State used Robert McDaniel for 13 pass attempts on October 24, after Daniel Rolovich led its previous game. That participation does not confirm the Week 9 starter or availability. NWS game-window forecast: wind 2–7 mph, 66°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 31 (ET)
Nevada’s October 24 recap confirms Luke Duncan made his second start of the season against San José State, throwing 29 passes after AJ Bianco led the prior game. That participation does not confirm Nevada’s starter at UCLA. UCLA’s October 27 preview records Ty Dieffenbach’s second FBS start against Michigan State. That past participation is separate from Saturday’s starting role. NWS game-window forecast: wind 5 mph, precipitation chance up to 85%, 68–70°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 31 (ET)
Iowa State’s October 24 recap says Connor Moberly replaced Jaylen Raynor to start the second half at Arizona. The current Big 12 report lists Moberly out; it does not identify Saturday’s starter. NWS game-window forecast: wind 5 mph, 58–62°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 31 (ET)
NWS game-window forecast: wind 10–15 mph, gusts up to 23 mph, 73–79°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 31 (ET)
Current official report: San Diego State QB Jayden Denegal questionable. NWS game-window forecast: wind 0–5 mph, precipitation chance up to 73%, 67–70°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 31 (ET)
Mississippi State announced October 27 that Kamario Taylor will miss the rest of the 2026 season because a foot injury requires surgery. The statement does not name the starter against Texas. Current official report: Mississippi State QB Kamario Taylor out. NWS game-window forecast: wind 0 mph, 70–79°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 31 (ET)
Pitt’s October 26 coaching update says Holden Geriner remains its quarterback. Geriner started at Miami and threw for 268 yards; Corey Dailey also played. Current official report: Pittsburgh QB Mason Heintschel out. NWS game-window forecast: wind 2–3 mph, 49–57°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 31 (ET)
The current Big Ten report lists Ohio State quarterback Julian Sayin out. Ohio State’s reviewed October 28 practice update discusses the decision on who will start and does not name his replacement. NWS game-window forecast: wind 5 mph, precipitation chance up to 84%, 64–68°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 31 (ET)
ESPN reported October 29 that Missouri running back Ahmad Hardy is expected to make his season debut at Arkansas with a handful of carries, without starting. The current SEC report lists Hardy available; that status does not establish workload. NWS game-window forecast: wind 5 mph, precipitation chance up to 58%, 64–66°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 31 (ET)
Current official report: Washington QB Demond Williams Jr. probable. NWS game-window forecast: wind 6–7 mph, precipitation chance up to 32%, 60–62°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 31 (ET)
NWS game-window forecast: wind 1–2 mph, precipitation chance up to 87%, 48–54°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 31 (ET)
NWS game-window forecast: wind 0–5 mph, precipitation chance up to 81%, a thunderstorm chance, 62–64°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 31 (ET)
Published model predictions alongside the recorded market line.
EC
Quarterback context East Carolina used Mitch Griffis for 26 pass attempts on October 22, after Emory Williams led its previous game. That participation does not confirm the Week 9 starter or availability. NWS game-window forecast: wind 7–10 mph, gusts up to 17 mph, 65–68°F. Player source ↗ Weather ↗ Context updated October 31 (ET)
Quarterback context Air Force’s October 26 notes say Evan Medders left the Wyoming game injured. Howard Fisher IV then recorded a career-high seven pass attempts. The reviewed notes do not confirm Air Force’s quarterback role against UConn. NWS game-window forecast: wind 5 mph, 61–62°F. Player source ↗ Weather ↗ Context updated October 31 (ET)
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Quarterback context · Thunderstorm chance Current official report: Arizona State QB Mikey Keene game time decision. NWS game-window forecast: wind 3 mph, precipitation chance up to 29%, a thunderstorm chance, 59–61°F. Player source ↗ Weather ↗ Context updated October 31 (ET)
US
Quarterback context · Thunderstorm chance Colorado State’s October 30 preview describes Hauss Hejny and K’saan Farrar splitting time. Hejny threw all 31 team pass attempts against San Diego State after Farrar led the previous game; that dated usage does not confirm Saturday’s starter. NWS game-window forecast: wind 3 mph, precipitation chance up to 29%, a thunderstorm chance, 52–57°F. Player source ↗ Weather ↗ Context updated October 31 (ET)
USQuarterback context · Thunderstorm chance Colorado State’s October 30 preview describes Hauss Hejny and K’saan Farrar splitting time. Hejny threw all 31 team pass attempts against San Diego State after Farrar led the previous game; that dated usage does not confirm Saturday’s starter. NWS game-window forecast: wind 3 mph, precipitation chance up to 29%, a thunderstorm chance, 52–57°F. Player source ↗ Weather ↗ Context updated October 31 (ET)
Quarterback context Florida’s October 31 game-day preview says Aaron Philo is set to start against Georgia. The current SEC report lists Philo and Tramell Jones Jr. available. That availability status does not establish workload. Player source ↗ Weather ↗ Context updated October 31 (ET)
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Quarterback context Current official report: Kansas QB Isaiah Marshall game time decision. NWS game-window forecast: wind 0–5 mph, 75°F. Player source ↗ Weather ↗ Context updated October 31 (ET)
Quarterback context Indiana’s October 26 press conference acknowledges Josh Hoover played hurt at Michigan. Curt Cignetti expects him to be better this week; that expectation is separate from a game-day availability report. Current official report: Minnesota QB Michael Merdinger out. The current official report lists Indiana QB Josh Hoover available. NWS game-window forecast: wind 3–6 mph, 68–70°F. Player source ↗ Weather ↗ Context updated October 31 (ET)
O
Quarterback context Dan Lanning said October 26 that Dante Moore is not expected to return this season. Jay Johnson will coordinate Oregon’s offense after Drew Mehringer’s dismissal. The reviewed announcement does not name Oregon’s Week 9 starter. Current official report: Oregon QB Dante Moore out. NWS game-window forecast: wind 1–2 mph, 47–53°F. Player source ↗ Weather ↗ Context updated October 31 (ET)
UM
Thunderstorm chance NWS game-window forecast: wind 5 mph, precipitation chance up to 31%, a thunderstorm chance, 74–76°F. Player source ↗ Weather ↗ Context updated October 31 (ET)
WF
SJ
Quarterback context San Jose State used Robert McDaniel for 13 pass attempts on October 24, after Daniel Rolovich led its previous game. That participation does not confirm the Week 9 starter or availability. NWS game-window forecast: wind 2–7 mph, 66°F. Player source ↗ Weather ↗ Context updated October 31 (ET)
Quarterback context · Rain chance Nevada’s October 24 recap confirms Luke Duncan made his second start of the season against San José State, throwing 29 passes after AJ Bianco led the prior game. That participation does not confirm Nevada’s starter at UCLA. UCLA’s October 27 preview records Ty Dieffenbach’s second FBS start against Michigan State. That past participation is separate from Saturday’s starting role. NWS game-window forecast: wind 5 mph, precipitation chance up to 85%, 68–70°F. Player source ↗ Weather ↗ Context updated October 31 (ET)
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FS
Wind NWS game-window forecast: wind 10–15 mph, gusts up to 23 mph, 73–79°F. Player source ↗ Weather ↗ Context updated October 31 (ET)
IS
Quarterback context Iowa State’s October 24 recap says Connor Moberly replaced Jaylen Raynor to start the second half at Arizona. The current Big 12 report lists Moberly out; it does not identify Saturday’s starter. NWS game-window forecast: wind 5 mph, 58–62°F. Player source ↗ Weather ↗ Context updated October 31 (ET)
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Quarterback context · Rain chance The current Big Ten report lists Ohio State quarterback Julian Sayin out. Ohio State’s reviewed October 28 practice update discusses the decision on who will start and does not name his replacement. NWS game-window forecast: wind 5 mph, precipitation chance up to 84%, 64–68°F. Player source ↗ Weather ↗ Context updated October 31 (ET)
Personnel context · Rain chance ESPN reported October 29 that Missouri running back Ahmad Hardy is expected to make his season debut at Arkansas with a handful of carries, without starting. The current SEC report lists Hardy available; that status does not establish workload. NWS game-window forecast: wind 5 mph, precipitation chance up to 58%, 64–66°F. Player source ↗ Weather ↗ Context updated October 31 (ET)
N
Quarterback context Current official report: Washington QB Demond Williams Jr. probable. NWS game-window forecast: wind 6–7 mph, precipitation chance up to 32%, 60–62°F. Player source ↗ Weather ↗ Context updated October 31 (ET)
BS
Rain chance NWS game-window forecast: wind 1–2 mph, precipitation chance up to 87%, 48–54°F. Player source ↗ Weather ↗ Context updated October 31 (ET)
U
FS
Thunderstorm chance · Rain chance NWS game-window forecast: wind 0–5 mph, precipitation chance up to 81%, a thunderstorm chance, 62–64°F. Player source ↗ Weather ↗ Context updated October 31 (ET)
FSThunderstorm chance · Rain chance NWS game-window forecast: wind 0–5 mph, precipitation chance up to 81%, a thunderstorm chance, 62–64°F. Player source ↗ Weather ↗ Context updated October 31 (ET)
The six closest FBS forecasts by projected margin.
| Game | Watch team | Matrix margin | Observed spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Miss at UL Monroe | UL Monroe | 49% | UL Monroe +3.5 |
| Clemson at Florida State | Clemson | 45% | Clemson +5.5 |
| Army at Memphis | Army | 44% | Army +6 |
| Oregon State at Fresno State | Fresno State | 57% | Fresno State +6 |
| Louisiana Tech at South Alabama | South Alabama | 40% | South Alabama +6 |
| Washington at Nebraska | Washington | 39% | Washington +7.5 |
Published spread predictions with dated market observations. Started games retain their original pregame quotes.
| Rank | Game | Comparison | Matrix | Observed market | Gap | Confidence | Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | T Tulane at Charlotte2026-10-30 | Tulane -8.5 | Tulane -22.2 | Tulane -8.5 | 13.7 | Low | Lab → |
| #2 | NNorthwestern at Oregon2026-10-31 | Oregon -3.5 | Oregon -17.1 | Oregon -3.5 | 13.6 | High | Lab → |
| #3 | FA Florida Atlantic at North Texas2026-10-29 | Florida Atlantic +13.5 | North Texas -2.8 | North Texas -13.5 | 10.7 | Low | Lab → |
| #4 | T Troy at James Madison2026-10-29 | Troy +21 | James Madison -11.4 | James Madison -21.0 | 9.6 | Medium | Lab → |
| #5 | KS Kennesaw State at Middle Tennessee2026-10-28 · FAVORITE FLIP | Kennesaw State +2.5 | Kennesaw State -7.0 | Middle Tennessee -2.5 | 9.5 | Medium | Lab → |
| #6 | KS Kansas State at Colorado2026-10-31 · FAVORITE FLIP | Kansas State +2.5 | Kansas State -6.6 | Colorado -2.5 | 9.1 | Medium | Lab → |
| #7 | CC Coastal Carolina at Georgia State2026-10-31 · FAVORITE FLIP | Coastal Carolina +4.5 | Coastal Carolina -4.6 | Georgia State -4.5 | 9.1 | Low | Lab → |
| #8 | OSOhio State at USC2026-10-31 | Ohio State -6.5 | Ohio State -15.5 | Ohio State -6.5 | 9.0 | High | Lab → |
| #9 | OSOregon State at Fresno State2026-10-31 · FAVORITE FLIP | Fresno State +6 | Fresno State -2.5 | Oregon State -6.0 | 8.5 | Low | Lab → |
| #10 | PPurdue at Penn State2026-10-31 | Penn State -10 | Penn State -18.5 | Penn State -10.0 | 8.5 | Medium | Lab → |
| #11 | U UAB at South Florida2026-10-31 | South Florida -7.5 | South Florida -15.6 | South Florida -7.5 | 8.1 | Low | Lab → |
| #12 | U UConn at Air Force2026-10-31 | Air Force -1.5 | Air Force -9.5 | Air Force -1.5 | 8.0 | Low | Lab → |
| #13 | TSTexas State at Boise State2026-10-31 | Boise State -10.5 | Boise State -17.8 | Boise State -10.5 | 7.3 | High | Lab → |
| #14 | D Delaware at Western Kentucky2026-10-27 | Western Kentucky -1.5 | Western Kentucky -8.2 | Western Kentucky -1.5 | 6.7 | Medium | Lab → |
| #15 | W Wisconsin at Iowa2026-10-31 | Iowa -2.5 | Iowa -8.8 | Iowa -2.5 | 6.3 | Medium | Lab → |
| #16 | NINorthern Illinois at UNLV2026-10-31 | UNLV -22.5 | UNLV -28.7 | UNLV -22.5 | 6.2 | Low | Lab → |
| #17 | M Marshall at Old Dominion2026-10-31 · FAVORITE FLIP | Old Dominion +3 | Old Dominion -3.2 | Marshall -3.0 | 6.2 | Low | Lab → |
| #18 | A Arizona at Texas Tech2026-10-31 | Texas Tech -3.5 | Texas Tech -9.3 | Texas Tech -3.5 | 5.8 | Medium | Lab → |
| #19 | VVirginia at Wake Forest2026-10-31 | Virginia +13.5 | Wake Forest -7.7 | Wake Forest -13.5 | 5.8 | Medium | Lab → |
| #20 | M Michigan at Rutgers2026-10-31 | Rutgers +16.5 | Michigan -12.8 | Michigan -16.5 | 3.7 | Medium | Lab → |
| #21 | A Army at Memphis2026-10-31 | Army +6 | Memphis -2.3 | Memphis -6.0 | 3.7 | Low | Lab → |
| #22 | CClemson at Florida State2026-10-31 | Clemson +5.5 | Florida State -1.9 | Florida State -5.5 | 3.6 | Low | Lab → |
| #23 | WWashington at Nebraska2026-10-31 | Washington +7.5 | Nebraska -4.1 | Nebraska -7.5 | 3.4 | Medium | Lab → |
| #24 | TTemple at East Carolina2026-10-31 | East Carolina -4 | East Carolina -7.4 | East Carolina -4.0 | 3.4 | Low | Lab → |
| #25 | CSColorado State at Utah State2026-10-31 | Colorado State +8.5 | Utah State -5.2 | Utah State -8.5 | 3.3 | Low | Lab → |
| #26 | M(Miami (FL) at North Carolina2026-10-31 | Miami (FL) -14 | Miami (FL) -17.3 | Miami (FL) -14.0 | 3.3 | High | Lab → |
| #27 | ASArizona State at BYU2026-10-31 | Arizona State +16.5 | BYU -13.2 | BYU -16.5 | 3.3 | Medium | Lab → |
| #28 | SMSouthern Miss at UL Monroe2026-10-31 | UL Monroe +3.5 | Southern Miss -0.5 | Southern Miss -3.5 | 3.0 | Low | Lab → |
| #29 | SStanford at Louisville2026-10-31 | Stanford +22.5 | Louisville -19.5 | Louisville -22.5 | 3.0 | Medium | Lab → |
| #30 | A Auburn at Ole Miss2026-10-31 | Auburn +11.5 | Ole Miss -8.7 | Ole Miss -11.5 | 2.8 | Medium | Lab → |
| #31 | NMNew Mexico at San Jose State2026-10-31 | New Mexico -14.5 | New Mexico -17.3 | New Mexico -14.5 | 2.8 | Medium | Lab → |
| #32 | B Baylor at UCF2026-10-30 · FAVORITE FLIP | UCF +1.5 | UCF -1.3 | Baylor -1.5 | 2.8 | Low | Lab → |
| #33 | BG Bowling Green at Western Michigan2026-10-31 | Bowling Green +13.5 | Western Michigan -10.8 | Western Michigan -13.5 | 2.7 | Medium | Lab → |
| #34 | M Missouri at Arkansas2026-10-31 | Arkansas +10 | Missouri -7.4 | Missouri -10.0 | 2.6 | Medium | Lab → |
| #35 | WS Washington State at San Diego State2026-10-31 | San Diego State -2.5 | San Diego State -5.1 | San Diego State -2.5 | 2.6 | Low | Lab → |
| #36 | JS Jacksonville State at New Mexico State2026-10-28 | Jacksonville State -3.5 | Jacksonville State -6.0 | Jacksonville State -3.5 | 2.5 | Medium | Lab → |
| #37 | K Kansas at TCU2026-10-31 | TCU -6 | TCU -8.4 | TCU -6.0 | 2.4 | Medium | Lab → |
| #38 | SC South Carolina at Oklahoma2026-10-31 | Oklahoma -3.5 | Oklahoma -5.8 | Oklahoma -3.5 | 2.3 | Medium | Lab → |
| #39 | LT Louisiana Tech at South Alabama2026-10-31 | South Alabama +6 | Louisiana Tech -3.7 | Louisiana Tech -6.0 | 2.3 | Low | Lab → |
| #40 | I Illinois at Maryland2026-10-31 | Illinois -2.5 | Illinois -4.3 | Illinois -2.5 | 1.8 | Medium | Lab → |
| #41 | GT Georgia Tech at Pittsburgh2026-10-31 | Georgia Tech +7.5 | Pittsburgh -5.7 | Pittsburgh -7.5 | 1.8 | Medium | Lab → |
| #42 | U UTEP at North Dakota State2026-10-31 | North Dakota State -23.5 | North Dakota State -25.2 | North Dakota State -23.5 | 1.7 | Medium | Lab → |
| #43 | KS Kent State at Sacramento State2026-10-30 | Sacramento State +7 | Kent State -5.3 | Kent State -7.0 | 1.7 | Medium | Lab → |
| #44 | ND Notre Dame at Navy2026-10-31 | Navy +30.5 | Notre Dame -29.0 | Notre Dame -30.5 | 1.5 | Medium | Lab → |
| #45 | C California at NC State2026-10-31 | California +8.5 | NC State -7.1 | NC State -8.5 | 1.4 | Medium | Lab → |
| #46 | S SMU at Syracuse2026-10-31 | Syracuse +10.5 | SMU -9.2 | SMU -10.5 | 1.3 | Medium | Lab → |
| #47 | SH Sam Houston at Missouri State2026-10-27 | Missouri State -5.5 | Missouri State -6.8 | Missouri State -5.5 | 1.3 | Low | Lab → |
| #48 | BC Boston College at Duke2026-10-31 | Duke -7 | Duke -8.1 | Duke -7.0 | 1.1 | Medium | Lab → |
| #49 | F Florida at Georgia2026-10-31 | Florida +11.5 | Georgia -10.5 | Georgia -11.5 | 1.0 | Medium | Lab → |
| #50 | OSOklahoma State at Iowa State2026-10-31 | Iowa State +9.5 | Oklahoma State -9.0 | Oklahoma State -9.5 | 0.5 | Low | Lab → |
| #51 | U Utah at Cincinnati2026-10-31 | Cincinnati +7 | Utah -6.5 | Utah -7.0 | 0.5 | Medium | Lab → |
| #52 | AS Appalachian State at Georgia Southern2026-10-31 | Georgia Southern -6 | Georgia Southern -6.4 | Georgia Southern -6.0 | 0.4 | Medium | Lab → |
| #53 | FIFlorida International at Liberty2026-10-31 | Florida International +14 | Liberty -13.7 | Liberty -14.0 | 0.3 | Medium | Lab → |
| #54 | N Nevada at UCLA2026-10-31 | UCLA -22.5 | UCLA -22.6 | UCLA -22.5 | 0.1 | Low | Lab → |
| #55 | MS Mississippi State at Texas2026-10-31 | Mississippi State +20.5 | Texas -20.4 | Texas -20.5 | 0.1 | High | Lab → |
| #56 | M Minnesota at Indiana2026-10-31 | Indiana -20.5 | Indiana -20.5 | Indiana -20.5 | 0.0 | High | Lab → |
Published total predictions with dated market observations. Started games retain their original pregame quotes.
| Rank | Game | Comparison | Matrix | Observed market | Gap | Confidence | Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | UUAB at South Florida2026-10-31 | OVER 41.5 | 57.7 | O/U 41.5 | 16.2 | Low | Lab → |
| #2 | FAFlorida Atlantic at North Texas2026-10-29 | UNDER 77.5 | 62.0 | O/U 77.5 | 15.5 | Low | Lab → |
| #3 | OSOregon State at Fresno State2026-10-31 | UNDER 57.5 | 44.9 | O/U 57.5 | 12.6 | Low | Lab → |
| #4 | FIFlorida International at Liberty2026-10-31 | OVER 45.5 | 57.2 | O/U 45.5 | 11.7 | Medium | Lab → |
| #5 | SStanford at Louisville2026-10-31 | UNDER 59.5 | 49.2 | O/U 59.5 | 10.3 | Medium | Lab → |
| #6 | CSColorado State at Utah State2026-10-31 | UNDER 60.5 | 50.8 | O/U 60.5 | 9.7 | Low | Lab → |
| #7 | NMNew Mexico at San Jose State2026-10-31 | OVER 42.5 | 51.9 | O/U 42.5 | 9.4 | Medium | Lab → |
| #8 | MMarshall at Old Dominion2026-10-31 | OVER 45.5 | 54.9 | O/U 45.5 | 9.4 | Low | Lab → |
| #9 | NNevada at UCLA2026-10-31 | OVER 42.5 | 51.7 | O/U 42.5 | 9.2 | Low | Lab → |
| #10 | OSOklahoma State at Iowa State2026-10-31 | UNDER 58.5 | 49.3 | O/U 58.5 | 9.2 | Low | Lab → |
| #11 | BCBoston College at Duke2026-10-31 | OVER 48.5 | 57.1 | O/U 48.5 | 8.6 | Medium | Lab → |
| #12 | KKansas at TCU2026-10-31 | OVER 45.5 | 54.1 | O/U 45.5 | 8.6 | Medium | Lab → |
| #13 | MMissouri at Arkansas2026-10-31 | OVER 48.5 | 56.6 | O/U 48.5 | 8.1 | Medium | Lab → |
| #14 | MMinnesota at Indiana2026-10-31 | OVER 40.5 | 48.1 | O/U 40.5 | 7.6 | High | Lab → |
| #15 | SSMU at Syracuse2026-10-31 | UNDER 58.5 | 51.0 | O/U 58.5 | 7.5 | Medium | Lab → |
| #16 | MMichigan at Rutgers2026-10-31 | OVER 45.5 | 52.9 | O/U 45.5 | 7.4 | Medium | Lab → |
| #17 | KSKansas State at Colorado2026-10-31 | OVER 46.5 | 53.7 | O/U 46.5 | 7.2 | Medium | Lab → |
| #18 | FFlorida at Georgia2026-10-31 | UNDER 56.5 | 49.6 | O/U 56.5 | 6.9 | Medium | Lab → |
| #19 | M(Miami (FL) at North Carolina2026-10-31 | UNDER 53.5 | 46.8 | O/U 53.5 | 6.7 | High | Lab → |
| #20 | KSKent State at Sacramento State2026-10-30 | OVER 46.5 | 52.0 | O/U 46.5 | 5.5 | Medium | Lab → |
| #21 | WWisconsin at Iowa2026-10-31 | OVER 36.5 | 41.8 | O/U 36.5 | 5.3 | Medium | Lab → |
| #22 | UUTEP at North Dakota State2026-10-31 | OVER 44.5 | 49.2 | O/U 44.5 | 4.7 | Medium | Lab → |
| #23 | TTulane at Charlotte2026-10-30 | OVER 47.5 | 52.2 | O/U 47.5 | 4.7 | Low | Lab → |
| #24 | AAuburn at Ole Miss2026-10-31 | UNDER 57.5 | 52.8 | O/U 57.5 | 4.7 | Medium | Lab → |
| #25 | MSMississippi State at Texas2026-10-31 | OVER 50.5 | 55.2 | O/U 50.5 | 4.7 | High | Lab → |
| #26 | JSJacksonville State at New Mexico State2026-10-28 | OVER 49.5 | 54.0 | O/U 49.5 | 4.5 | Medium | Lab → |
| #27 | BBaylor at UCF2026-10-30 | OVER 49.5 | 53.4 | O/U 49.5 | 3.9 | Low | Lab → |
| #28 | PPurdue at Penn State2026-10-31 | UNDER 55.5 | 51.9 | O/U 55.5 | 3.6 | Medium | Lab → |
| #29 | TTemple at East Carolina2026-10-31 | OVER 51.5 | 54.9 | O/U 51.5 | 3.4 | Low | Lab → |
| #30 | CClemson at Florida State2026-10-31 | UNDER 50.5 | 47.4 | O/U 50.5 | 3.1 | Low | Lab → |
| #31 | TTroy at James Madison2026-10-29 | OVER 49.5 | 52.6 | O/U 49.5 | 3.1 | Medium | Lab → |
| #32 | AArizona at Texas Tech2026-10-31 | UNDER 54.5 | 51.5 | O/U 54.5 | 3.0 | Medium | Lab → |
| #33 | NINorthern Illinois at UNLV2026-10-31 | UNDER 55.5 | 52.6 | O/U 55.5 | 2.9 | Low | Lab → |
| #34 | ASArizona State at BYU2026-10-31 | OVER 47.5 | 50.4 | O/U 47.5 | 2.9 | Medium | Lab → |
| #35 | SHSam Houston at Missouri State2026-10-27 | OVER 50.5 | 53.3 | O/U 50.5 | 2.8 | Low | Lab → |
| #36 | IIllinois at Maryland2026-10-31 | UNDER 54.5 | 51.7 | O/U 54.5 | 2.8 | Medium | Lab → |
| #37 | AArmy at Memphis2026-10-31 | UNDER 58.5 | 55.7 | O/U 58.5 | 2.8 | Low | Lab → |
| #38 | SCSouth Carolina at Oklahoma2026-10-31 | OVER 44.5 | 47.1 | O/U 44.5 | 2.6 | Medium | Lab → |
| #39 | OSOhio State at USC2026-10-31 | OVER 51.5 | 53.9 | O/U 51.5 | 2.4 | High | Lab → |
| #40 | WSWashington State at San Diego State2026-10-31 | UNDER 47.5 | 45.2 | O/U 47.5 | 2.3 | Low | Lab → |
| #41 | CCCoastal Carolina at Georgia State2026-10-31 | OVER 55.5 | 57.8 | O/U 55.5 | 2.3 | Low | Lab → |
| #42 | BGBowling Green at Western Michigan2026-10-31 | UNDER 44.5 | 42.7 | O/U 44.5 | 1.8 | Medium | Lab → |
| #43 | VVirginia at Wake Forest2026-10-31 | UNDER 47.5 | 45.8 | O/U 47.5 | 1.7 | Medium | Lab → |
| #44 | LTLouisiana Tech at South Alabama2026-10-31 | UNDER 57.5 | 55.8 | O/U 57.5 | 1.7 | Low | Lab → |
| #45 | DDelaware at Western Kentucky2026-10-27 | OVER 57.5 | 59.1 | O/U 57.5 | 1.6 | Medium | Lab → |
| #46 | NNorthwestern at Oregon2026-10-31 | OVER 47.5 | 48.9 | O/U 47.5 | 1.4 | High | Lab → |
| #47 | KSKennesaw State at Middle Tennessee2026-10-28 | OVER 51.5 | 52.8 | O/U 51.5 | 1.3 | Medium | Lab → |
| #48 | GTGeorgia Tech at Pittsburgh2026-10-31 | UNDER 54.5 | 53.5 | O/U 54.5 | 1.0 | Medium | Lab → |
| #49 | UUtah at Cincinnati2026-10-31 | UNDER 56.5 | 55.5 | O/U 56.5 | 1.0 | Medium | Lab → |
| #50 | NDNotre Dame at Navy2026-10-31 | UNDER 56.5 | 55.6 | O/U 56.5 | 0.9 | Medium | Lab → |
| #51 | UUConn at Air Force2026-10-31 | OVER 52.5 | 53.2 | O/U 52.5 | 0.7 | Low | Lab → |
| #52 | TSTexas State at Boise State2026-10-31 | UNDER 63.5 | 63.0 | O/U 63.5 | 0.5 | High | Lab → |
| #53 | ASAppalachian State at Georgia Southern2026-10-31 | UNDER 55.5 | 55.1 | O/U 55.5 | 0.4 | Medium | Lab → |
| #54 | WWashington at Nebraska2026-10-31 | OVER 49.5 | 49.8 | O/U 49.5 | 0.3 | Medium | Lab → |
| #55 | SMSouthern Miss at UL Monroe2026-10-31 | UNDER 54.5 | 54.5 | O/U 54.5 | 0.0 | Low | Lab → |
| #56 | CCalifornia at NC State2026-10-31 | UNDER 56.5 | 56.5 | O/U 56.5 | 0.0 | Medium | Lab → |
Three approaches: marquee matchups, one focused Core pick, and a five-upset Long Shot.
Core means our strongest supported construction, not a guaranteed win. These are separate tickets; previous editions remain preserved.
Change the example stake to update every return below.
Two major matchups with positive margin buffers across all eight saved model references. These are spread positions, not outright-win forecasts.
Before kickoff Florida’s own-team preview says Philo is set to start, but WR Vernell Brown III is out. Penn State has other availability concerns. Recheck the current reports and prices before kickoff.
No calibrated ticket or spread hit estimate. Outright model references do not measure the chance of covering a spread.
Florida +11.5 leaves a 1.0–1.9 point margin buffer across the eight saved references. That agreement does not establish a calibrated cover probability.
Florida’s October 31 game-day preview says Philo is set to start; the current SEC report lists him and Jones available. Vernell Brown III is out; Bailey Stockton is a game-time decision.
Context source ↗ Recorded quote ↗Penn State -10 leaves a 2.6–8.5 point margin buffer across the saved references. The lower end is modest.
Rocco Becht and Purdue’s Ryan Browne are available in the reviewed report. Penn State WR Koby Howard is doubtful and DT Alijah Carnell is out.
Context source ↗ Recorded quote ↗A single position with a 3.3–4.7 point margin buffer across all eight saved references. One leg avoids adding parlay legs merely to inflate the return.
Before kickoff Core means our strongest supported construction, not a guaranteed win. Miami has several known absences; no calibrated cover probability or certified expected value is available.
No calibrated ticket or spread hit estimate. Outright model references do not measure the chance of covering a spread.
Miami -14: every saved margin reference favors Miami by at least 17.3 points. This is agreement across related models, not a verified probability of covering.
Mensah and North Carolina’s Billy Edwards Jr. are available in the captured ACC report. Miami’s known receiver, running-back and line absences remain relevant; do not interpret QB availability as full-team health.
Context source ↗ Recorded quote ↗Arkansas, ULM, Fresno State, Army and Colorado State. Each has a positive raw price case across the saved outright references, with substantial personnel, weather or model uncertainty.
Before kickoff All five must win. This is a highly speculative construction with no validated joint hit probability. Fresno has heavy-rain risk; Army’s report was unpublished; Colorado State has a split quarterback role.
No calibrated ticket or spread hit estimate. Outright model references do not measure the chance of covering a spread.
Arkansas +300 breaks even at 25%; the eight raw outright references range from 27.7% to 38.0%. Related model estimates are not independent evidence.
Simmons and Jackson are available in the reviewed report. Missouri’s Ahmad Hardy is expected to return in a limited role; game-window rain risk is 58%.
Context source ↗ Recorded quote ↗ULM +140 breaks even at 41.7%; raw outright references range from 46.8% to 49.8%. The matchup remains close in every reference.
Southern Miss lists Hampton available. ULM has no current QB row; prior Armenta participation alone does not confirm a starter or clearance.
Context source ↗ Recorded quote ↗Fresno +190 breaks even at 34.5%; raw references range from 43.1% to 56.7%. Some repair variants favor Oregon State.
Game-window rain risk is 81%, with thunder possible. The injury-only Pac-12 report has no QB row; that does not establish clearance.
Context source ↗ Recorded quote ↗Army +180 breaks even at 35.7%; raw outright references range from 40.4% to 46.1%. The model still favors Memphis.
The American report was not published at capture and is scheduled for 6 PM ET. Prior participation does not confirm current personnel availability.
Context source ↗ Recorded quote ↗Colorado State +250 breaks even at 28.6%; raw references range from 30.0% to 41.4%. The smallest price margin is thin.
Colorado State’s own notes describe the Hejny/Farrar split. Its fixture-specific Pac-12 report has no QB rows; RB Mel Brown is a game-time decision and two tight ends are out.
Context source ↗ Recorded quote ↗The Core is our strongest supported construction, not a guaranteed win. Comparison models share data and are not independent uncertainty bounds. No calibrated spread, total or parlay hit rate is available. Qualitative notes add context without invented point or probability adjustments.
Returns multiply the recorded decimal prices, include the example stake and require every leg to win. No boosts, taxes, limits or sportsbook rounding are assumed. Recheck actual offers; a void or push changes a parlay.
These three Saturday tickets share no games. Earlier dated editions include some of the same games and remains a separate dated record; do not treat both editions as independent exposure.
Friday tickets and results →
