Matrix Signal

Upcoming Week 9 forecasts · Updated October 3133 upcoming games16 upcoming spread picks12 upcoming total picks6 upcoming Upset Watch games

Week 9 Forecast Board

Scores & forecasts.

SAVED · WEEK 9 As of Oct 31, 2:27 PM ET

Q3 · 02:16 Fox

LIVE

Wisconsin 0

Iowa 30

Q3 · 07:31 CW | ESPN Unlmtd

LIVE

Boston College 2

Duke 34

Q4 · 15:00 ABC

LIVE

Notre Dame 28

Navy 13

Q4 · 13:27 CBSSN

LIVE

Bowling Green 10

Western Michigan 20

Q3 · 03:08 FS1

LIVE

Illinois 10

Maryland 14

Q3 · 02:49 ESPNU

LIVE

UAB 10

South Florida 20

Q3 · 05:33 ESPN

LIVE

Arizona 23

Texas Tech 17

Q3 · 06:13 ESPN2

LIVE

SMU 17

Syracuse 20

GameDay Matrix · National Command

Saturday Starts in the Matrix.

College football power rankings, projections, market signals and the games shaping the week — one connected view of the Matrix.

Featured Matchup SAT, OCT 31 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Florida

MPR #16 · 5-2

Matrix Projection

20–30

Georgia 76%

Georgia

MPR #3 · 6-1

Model EdgeGeorgia 10.5

Win Chance76%

Model Total49.6

Week 9 published projection.

Open in Game Lab →

College Football Headlines

Around college football.

Publisher headlines · captured October 30

ESPNMarketOct 30

Week 9 best bets for Georgia-Florida, North Carolina-Miami and moreRead at ESPN ↗

ESPNNewsOct 30

Is an upset brewing in Los Angeles? Breaking down the keys to Ohio State-USCRead at ESPN ↗

ESPNNewsOct 30

College football ghost stories, from Death Valley to Tennessee's 'Body Farm'Read at ESPN ↗

ESPNMatchupOct 30

Week 9 has the ACC in the spotlight and backup QBs taking over the Big TenRead at ESPN ↗

ESPNMatchupOct 30

Who is on upset alert in Week 9? Connelly breaks down 31 key matchupsRead at ESPN ↗

ESPNNewsOct 30

2027 recruiting class rankings: Ohio State, Miami inch closer to the topRead at ESPN ↗

Matrix Signal Board Published forecasts · Matchup context

Matrix Picks9

WEEK 9PREGAME

Oregon -3.5

Northwestern at Oregon

Matrix: Oregon -17.1
Recorded: Line -3.5

13.6 ptsModel–market gap · High confidence

Quarterback context

Quarterback context Dan Lanning said October 26 that Dante Moore is not expected to return this season. Jay Johnson will coordinate Oregon’s offense after Drew Mehringer’s dismissal. The reviewed announcement does not name Oregon’s Week 9 starter. Current official report: Oregon QB Dante Moore out. NWS game-window forecast: wind 1–2 mph, 47–53°F. Player source ↗ Weather ↗Context updated October 31 (ET)

WEEK 9PREGAME

Ohio State -6.5

Ohio State at USC

Matrix: Ohio State -15.5
Recorded: Line -6.5

9.0 ptsModel–market gap · High confidence

Quarterback context · Rain chance

Quarterback context · Rain chance The current Big Ten report lists Ohio State quarterback Julian Sayin out. Ohio State’s reviewed October 28 practice update discusses the decision on who will start and does not name his replacement. NWS game-window forecast: wind 5 mph, precipitation chance up to 84%, 64–68°F. Player source ↗ Weather ↗Context updated October 31 (ET)

WEEK 9PREGAME

Fresno State +6

Oregon State at Fresno State

Matrix: Fresno State -2.5
Recorded: Line +6.0

8.5 ptsModel–market gap · Low confidence

Thunderstorm chance · Rain chance

Thunderstorm chance · Rain chance NWS game-window forecast: wind 0–5 mph, precipitation chance up to 81%, a thunderstorm chance, 62–64°F. Player source ↗ Weather ↗Context updated October 31 (ET)

Show all 9 Matrix picks

WEEK 9PREGAME

Penn State -10

Purdue at Penn State

Matrix: Penn State -18.5
Recorded: Line -10.0

8.5 ptsModel–market gap · Medium confidence

WEEK 9PREGAME

Air Force -1.5

UConn at Air Force

Matrix: Air Force -9.5
Recorded: Line -1.5

8.0 ptsModel–market gap · Low confidence

Quarterback context

Quarterback context Air Force’s October 26 notes say Evan Medders left the Wyoming game injured. Howard Fisher IV then recorded a career-high seven pass attempts. The reviewed notes do not confirm Air Force’s quarterback role against UConn. NWS game-window forecast: wind 5 mph, 61–62°F. Player source ↗ Weather ↗Context updated October 31 (ET)

WEEK 9PREGAME

Boise State -10.5

Texas State at Boise State

Matrix: Boise State -17.8
Recorded: Line -10.5

7.3 ptsModel–market gap · High confidence

Rain chance

Rain chance NWS game-window forecast: wind 1–2 mph, precipitation chance up to 87%, 48–54°F. Player source ↗ Weather ↗Context updated October 31 (ET)

WEEK 9PREGAME

UNLV -22.5

Northern Illinois at UNLV

Matrix: UNLV -28.7
Recorded: Line -22.5

6.2 ptsModel–market gap · Low confidence

WEEK 9PREGAME

Virginia +13.5

Virginia at Wake Forest

Matrix: Wake Forest -7.7
Recorded: Line +13.5

5.8 ptsModel–market gap · Medium confidence

WEEK 9PREGAME

Army +6

Army at Memphis

Matrix: Memphis -2.3
Recorded: Line +6.0

3.7 ptsModel–market gap · Low confidence

Upset Watch6

6 closest upcoming FBS forecasts by projected margin.

CLOSEST MATRIX GAMEPREGAME

Southern Miss at UL Monroe

Matrix: Southern Miss -0.5
Recorded: Southern Miss -3.5

UL Monroe +3.549% outright · Low confidence

Thunderstorm chance

Thunderstorm chance NWS game-window forecast: wind 5 mph, precipitation chance up to 31%, a thunderstorm chance, 74–76°F. Player source ↗ Weather ↗Context updated October 31 (ET)

CLOSEST MATRIX GAMEPREGAME

Clemson at Florida State

Matrix: Florida State -1.9
Recorded: Florida State -5.5

Clemson +5.545% outright · Low confidence

Wind

Wind NWS game-window forecast: wind 10–15 mph, gusts up to 23 mph, 73–79°F. Player source ↗ Weather ↗Context updated October 31 (ET)

Show all 6 Upset Watch games

CLOSEST MATRIX GAMEPREGAME

Army at Memphis

Matrix: Memphis -2.3
Recorded: Memphis -6.0

Army +644% outright · Low confidence

CLOSEST MATRIX GAMEPREGAME

Oregon State at Fresno State

Matrix: Fresno State -2.5
Recorded: Oregon State -6.0

Fresno State +657% outright · Low confidence

Thunderstorm chance · Rain chance

CLOSEST MATRIX GAMEPREGAME

Louisiana Tech at South Alabama

Matrix: Louisiana Tech -3.7
Recorded: Louisiana Tech -6.0

South Alabama +640% outright · Low confidence

Thunderstorm chance

Thunderstorm chance NWS game-window forecast: wind 10 mph, gusts up to 20 mph, precipitation chance up to 22%, a thunderstorm chance, 80–81°F. Player source ↗ Weather ↗Context updated October 31 (ET)

CLOSEST MATRIX GAMEPREGAME

Washington at Nebraska

Matrix: Nebraska -4.1
Recorded: Nebraska -7.5

Washington +7.539% outright · Medium confidence

Quarterback context

Quarterback context Current official report: Washington QB Demond Williams Jr. probable. NWS game-window forecast: wind 6–7 mph, precipitation chance up to 32%, 60–62°F. Player source ↗ Weather ↗Context updated October 31 (ET)

Upcoming Week 9 forecasts · recorded market quotes · lines can move.

Inside the Matrix · Week 9

Open Matrix Wire →

Week 8 closeout56 finals. Winner picks finish 35–21.

Margin error averaged 12.18 points. Published market comparisons finished 22–34 on spreads and 28–28 on totals.

Open the review →

Week 9 forecastsSaturday scores and upcoming forecasts.

Original October 26 game forecasts are preserved. Upcoming games use October 31 DraftKings observations and source-dated player and weather notes.

Current ratingsSaturday records and conference outlooks refreshed.

Nine Week 9 finals now count in records, projected wins and conference chances. Ratings remain fitted through the complete Week 8 slate.

Matchup contextQuarterback roles and game-window weather.

All 33 upcoming games have refreshed game-window weather and availability screens. Reported roles, official status and missing reports remain distinct.

Matrix UnhingedMarquee, Core and Long Shot: three distinct tickets.

Saturday prices and exact illustrative returns. The October 26 and October 30 tickets remain preserved; the new edition makes no calibrated parlay hit-rate claim.

Weekly learningThe market outperformed our model this week.

Seven fixed comparison methods remain under prospective evaluation. Early Week 9 results do not erase Week 8 losses or establish a repair.

Week 9 · Saturday, October 31 edition · Weekend tickets

Matrix Unhinged

Three approaches: marquee matchups, one focused Core pick, and a five-upset Long Shot.

All tickets & returns

Marquee · 2 spread legsPublished

Florida and Penn State.

Florida +11.5-108
Penn State -10-112

Combined odds ≈+265$10.00 returns$36.46

See the ticket

Core · 1 spread pickPublished

Miami -14.

Miami (FL) -14-108

Combined odds ≈-108$10.00 returns$19.26

See the ticket

Long Shot · 5 moneyline upsetsPublished

Five underdogs. A difficult path.

Arkansas ML+300
UL Monroe ML+140
Fresno State ML+190
Army ML+180
Colorado State ML+250

Combined odds ≈+27,183$10.00 returns$2,728.32

See the ticket

DraftKings observations captured Oct 31, 2:25–2:35 PM ET. Illustrative returns include the stake and require every leg to win. Recorded Saturday observations; recheck prices and availability before kickoff.

National Power Rankings

GameDay Matrix Top 25 Power Rankings.

See the complete profile behind each ranking: MPR, scoring offense, scoring defense, point differential, schedule strength, projected wins and weekly movement. View all 138 teams →

Top offenseNotre Dame37.3 PPG Top defenseOhio State16.0 pts allowed Best scoring marginNotre Dame+20.9 per game Toughest scheduleTexasSOS #1

Rank

TeamMPROffenseDefenseNetSOSProj WinsMove

#1 OS

Ohio StateBig Ten · 6-1 MPR32.4#1 Offense33.8#8 · PPG Defense16.0#1 · allowed Net+17.8#3 SOS#19schedule Proj Wins10.36#4 Week move+0.17+0.17 MPR

#2 ND

Notre DameIndependent · 6-1 MPR27.4#2 Offense37.3#1 · PPG Defense16.4#2 · allowed Net+20.9#1 SOS#55schedule Proj Wins10.40#3 Week move-0.14-0.14 MPR

#3 G

GeorgiaSEC · 6-1 MPR27.3#3 Offense32.9#12 · PPG Defense18.6#10 · allowed Net+14.2#8 SOS#21schedule Proj Wins10.03#7 Week move-0.10-0.10 MPR

#4 I

IndianaBig Ten · 7-1 MPR25.1#4 Offense34.9#4 · PPG Defense16.6#3 · allowed Net+18.3#2 SOS#41schedule Proj Wins10.46#2 Week move-0.02-0.02 MPR

#5 M(

Miami (FL)ACC · 7-0 MPR24.5#5 Offense33.5#10 · PPG Defense17.8#8 · allowed Net+15.7#5 SOS#47schedule Proj Wins11.02#1 Week move▲ 1+0.58 MPR

#6 O

OregonBig Ten · 4-3 MPR23.9#6 Offense30.9#24 · PPG Defense20.1#19 · allowed Net+10.8#17 SOS#8schedule Proj Wins7.64#47 Week move▼ 1-1.18 MPR

#7 L

LSUSEC · 6-2 MPR23.7#7 Offense29.1#38 · PPG Defense21.2#26 · allowed Net+7.9#27 SOS#7schedule Proj Wins8.75#23 Week move▲ 1+1.06 MPR

#8 T

TexasSEC · 5-2 MPR23.3#8 Offense31.0#21 · PPG Defense21.7#31 · allowed Net+9.3#24 SOS#1schedule Proj Wins8.45#25 Week move▼ 1+0.07 MPR

#9 A

AlabamaSEC · 6-2 MPR20.9#9 Offense30.8#25 · PPG Defense16.7#4 · allowed Net+14.1#10 SOS#5schedule Proj Wins8.99#17 Week move▲ 1+0.32 MPR

#10 TT

Texas TechBig 12 · 6-1 MPR20.1#10 Offense32.9#11 · PPG Defense19.9#17 · allowed Net+13.0#12 SOS#65schedule Proj Wins9.97#9 Week move▼ 1-1.19 MPR

#11 TA

Texas A&MSEC · 4-4 MPR18.9#11 Offense27.4#59 · PPG Defense25.9#67 · allowed Net+1.5#63 SOS#15schedule Proj Wins6.16#77 Week move-0.44-0.44 MPR

#12 OM

Ole MissSEC · 5-2 MPR18.6#12 Offense32.8#14 · PPG Defense21.8#32 · allowed Net+11.0#16 SOS#18schedule Proj Wins8.37#26 Week move-0.04-0.04 MPR

#13 T

TennesseeSEC · 6-2 MPR17.5#13 Offense29.4#35 · PPG Defense27.1#83 · allowed Net+2.3#56 SOS#12schedule Proj Wins8.22#29 Week move-0.73-0.73 MPR

#14 B

BYUBig 12 · 6-1 MPR16.2#14 Offense32.1#16 · PPG Defense21.4#28 · allowed Net+10.7#18 SOS#50schedule Proj Wins9.76#13 Week move-1.35-1.35 MPR

#15 O

OklahomaSEC · 4-3 MPR15.8#15 Offense24.7#86 · PPG Defense23.8#41 · allowed Net+0.9#70 SOS#3schedule Proj Wins6.61#65 Week move▲ 2+0.12 MPR

#16 F

FloridaSEC · 5-2 MPR15.6#16 Offense25.9#72 · PPG Defense23.0#36 · allowed Net+2.9#53 SOS#6schedule Proj Wins7.86#41 Week move-0.14-0.14 MPR

#17 U

USCBig Ten · 6-2 MPR15.5#17 Offense26.5#67 · PPG Defense28.7#103 · allowed Net-2.2#81 SOS#20schedule Proj Wins7.80#43 Week move▼ 2-1.34 MPR

#18 M

MichiganBig Ten · 4-3 MPR14.5#18 Offense25.7#76 · PPG Defense24.6#48 · allowed Net+1.1#68 SOS#10schedule Proj Wins6.67#63 Week move+0.28+0.28 MPR

#19 PS

Penn StateBig Ten · 3-4 MPR14.2#19 Offense31.0#22 · PPG Defense19.8#14 · allowed Net+11.2#15 SOS#61schedule Proj Wins6.77#60 Week move+0.09+0.09 MPR

#20 M