2026 MATRIXWEEK 9138 FBS TEAMS56 GAMESCOLLEGE FOOTBALL DECODEDMODEL + MARKET + CONTEXT
GameDay Matrix — College Football. Decoded.
Ratings through Week 8 · Results through Oct 31, 2:03 PM ET · 138 FBS Teams

National Rankings

MPR is the current strength ranking. Projected Wins applies that strength to the remaining schedule. Season outcomes include results through Oct 31, 2:03 PM ET.

MPR No. 1Ohio State32.4 Matrix Power Rating
Projected Wins LeaderMiami (FL)11.02 projected wins
Top OffenseNotre Dame37.3 projected PPG
Top DefenseOhio State16.0 projected PPA
Toughest ScheduleTexasSOS rank #1

The National Board

138 teams
RankTeamMPRProj WinsSOSOffDefWin Total EdgeWk Move
#1Ohio StateBig Ten · 6-132.4MPR10.36#4#19SOS33.8PPG16.0PPA+0.59preseason market context—MPR +0.17
#2Notre DameIndependent · 6-127.4MPR10.40#3#55SOS37.3PPG16.4PPA-0.78preseason market context—MPR -0.14
#3GeorgiaSEC · 6-127.3MPR10.03#7#21SOS32.9PPG18.6PPA+0.17preseason market context—MPR -0.10
#4IndianaBig Ten · 7-125.1MPR10.46#2#41SOS34.9PPG16.6PPA+0.05preseason market context—MPR -0.02
#5Miami (FL)ACC · 7-024.5MPR11.02#1#47SOS33.5PPG17.8PPA+0.52preseason market context↑ 1MPR +0.58
#6OregonBig Ten · 4-323.9MPR7.64#47#8SOS30.9PPG20.1PPA-2.80preseason market context↓ 1MPR -1.18
#7LSUSEC · 6-223.7MPR8.75#23#7SOS29.1PPG21.2PPA+0.21preseason market context↑ 1MPR +1.06
#8TexasSEC · 5-223.3MPR8.45#25#1SOS31.0PPG21.7PPA-0.82preseason market context↓ 1MPR +0.07
#9AlabamaSEC · 6-220.9MPR8.99#17#5SOS30.8PPG16.7PPA+0.41preseason market context↑ 1MPR +0.32
#10Texas TechBig 12 · 6-120.1MPR9.97#9#65SOS32.9PPG19.9PPA-0.90preseason market context↓ 1MPR -1.19
#11Texas A&MSEC · 4-418.9MPR6.16#77#15SOS27.4PPG25.9PPA-2.26preseason market context—MPR -0.44
#12Ole MissSEC · 5-218.6MPR8.37#26#18SOS32.8PPG21.8PPA+0.50preseason market context—MPR -0.04
#13TennesseeSEC · 6-217.5MPR8.22#29#12SOS29.4PPG27.1PPA+0.76preseason market context—MPR -0.73
#14BYUBig 12 · 6-116.2MPR9.76#13#50SOS32.1PPG21.4PPA+1.08preseason market context—MPR -1.35
#15OklahomaSEC · 4-315.8MPR6.61#65#3SOS24.7PPG23.8PPA-1.15preseason market context↑ 2MPR +0.12
#16FloridaSEC · 5-215.6MPR7.86#41#6SOS25.9PPG23.0PPA+0.70preseason market context—MPR -0.14
#17USCBig Ten · 6-215.5MPR7.80#43#20SOS26.5PPG28.7PPA-0.52preseason market context↓ 2MPR -1.34
#18MichiganBig Ten · 4-314.5MPR6.67#63#10SOS25.7PPG24.6PPA-1.47preseason market context—MPR +0.28
#19Penn StateBig Ten · 3-414.2MPR6.77#60#61SOS31.0PPG19.8PPA-2.06preseason market context—MPR +0.09
#20MissouriSEC · 5-213.8MPR7.34#51#16SOS24.5PPG26.1PPA+0.76preseason market context↑ 1MPR +0.01
#21UtahBig 12 · 7-013.4MPR10.00#8#52SOS29.3PPG25.0PPA+1.22preseason market context↑ 2MPR -0.02
#22ArizonaBig 12 · 6-113.2MPR8.84#21#59SOS27.6PPG25.0PPA+1.47preseason market context↑ 3MPR +1.20
#23IowaBig Ten · 5-213.1MPR8.25#28#35SOS26.8PPG20.5PPA+0.64preseason market context↓ 3MPR -0.85
#24NebraskaBig Ten · 5-213.0MPR7.48#49#26SOS25.4PPG25.9PPA+1.18preseason market context↓ 2MPR -0.47
#25South CarolinaSEC · 4-312.4MPR6.13#79#9SOS23.7PPG26.7PPA-0.19preseason market context↑ 2MPR +0.59
#26WashingtonBig Ten · 4-311.8MPR6.05#81#30SOS23.2PPG27.0PPA-1.81preseason market context↑ 3MPR +0.18
#27LouisvilleACC · 4-311.8MPR7.42#50#42SOS29.1PPG21.2PPA-0.77preseason market context↓ 1MPR +0.02
#28HoustonBig 12 · 6-211.4MPR8.93#19#58SOS32.0PPG22.7PPA+0.75preseason market context—MPR -0.33
#29SMUACC · 6-111.3MPR8.90#20#54SOS27.4PPG24.6PPA+0.29preseason market context↑ 3MPR +1.53
#30AuburnSEC · 4-311.1MPR6.78#59#11SOS27.6PPG24.0PPA+0.24preseason market context↓ 6MPR -1.10
#31Oklahoma StateBig 12 · 5-211.1MPR7.93#39#53SOS28.1PPG24.7PPA+1.70preseason market context↑ 2MPR +1.39
#32ClemsonACC · 4-310.1MPR6.95#58#37SOS25.8PPG22.2PPA-0.77preseason market context↓ 2MPR -0.74
#33UCLABig Ten · 7-010.1MPR9.79#12#44SOS28.3PPG25.0PPA+3.47preseason market context↓ 2MPR +0.20
#34Boise StatePac-12 · 6-19.7MPR10.26#5#73SOS34.6PPG18.8PPA+1.46preseason market context—MPR +0.32
#35Virginia TechACC · 6-29.7MPR8.12#34#63SOS26.3PPG25.1PPA+1.34preseason market context↑ 1MPR +0.51
#36Florida StateACC · 3-49.3MPR5.78#87#29SOS26.6PPG24.4PPA-0.29preseason market context↓ 1MPR +0.13
#37NorthwesternBig Ten · 6-19.0MPR7.70#44#23SOS19.3PPG27.5PPA+2.36preseason market context↑ 4MPR +1.19
#38IllinoisBig Ten · 4-38.7MPR6.34#68#27SOS25.4PPG26.6PPA-0.82preseason market context↑ 4MPR +1.51
#39KentuckySEC · 7-18.7MPR8.46#24#4SOS22.2PPG27.5PPA+3.70preseason market context↑ 1MPR +0.81
#40Wake ForestACC · 6-18.0MPR9.20#16#68SOS28.5PPG20.7PPA+3.51preseason market context↓ 1MPR -0.36
#41TCUBig 12 · 3-47.8MPR5.25#96#45SOS25.7PPG27.9PPA-1.96preseason market context↓ 4MPR -1.31
#42Kansas StateBig 12 · 4-37.6MPR6.62#64#66SOS27.4PPG26.5PPA-1.66preseason market context↓ 4MPR -0.90
#43MinnesotaBig Ten · 5-26.4MPR6.73#62#38SOS19.7PPG26.6PPA+0.54preseason market context↑ 6MPR +0.69
#44WisconsinBig Ten · 5-26.3MPR7.69#45#51SOS22.6PPG21.2PPA+1.23preseason market context↑ 8MPR +1.24
#45DukeACC · 5-26.2MPR7.10#53#48SOS25.7PPG29.7PPA+1.44preseason market context—MPR +0.08
#46VirginiaACC · 4-46.1MPR5.74#88#67SOS22.8PPG25.3PPA-2.05preseason market context—MPR +0.10
#47PittsburghACC · 5-36.1MPR7.01#56#56SOS26.8PPG26.8PPA-0.76preseason market context↓ 3MPR -0.48
#48North CarolinaACC · 4-35.9MPR6.29#70#33SOS23.0PPG25.0PPA+1.64preseason market context↓ 5MPR -1.01
#49Mississippi StateSEC · 4-35.8MPR6.17#76#13SOS27.0PPG29.3PPA+1.50preseason market context↓ 1MPR +0.02
#50ArkansasSEC · 3-45.2MPR4.12#117#2SOS21.9PPG34.2PPA-0.08preseason market context—MPR -0.20
#51VanderbiltSEC · 3-55.2MPR4.03#120#17SOS22.5PPG32.8PPA-1.63preseason market context↓ 4MPR -0.71
#52Arizona StateBig 12 · 4-35.0MPR6.02#84#34SOS23.0PPG27.0PPA-0.48preseason market context↑ 2MPR +1.19
#53BaylorBig 12 · 5-34.8MPR6.33#69#46SOS24.7PPG30.7PPA+0.45preseason market context↓ 2MPR -0.37
#54CincinnatiBig 12 · 5-24.5MPR7.04#55#36SOS24.7PPG28.7PPA+1.84preseason market context↑ 2MPR +1.50
#55UCFBig 12 · 4-43.9MPR6.23#74#64SOS25.4PPG23.4PPA+0.51preseason market context↑ 3MPR +1.23
#56New MexicoMountain West · 6-12.9MPR9.83#11#96SOS31.2PPG19.8PPA+1.71preseason market context↓ 1MPR -0.46
#57Georgia TechACC · 2-52.8MPR3.39#127#28SOS20.3PPG30.7PPA-2.97preseason market context↓ 4MPR -1.06
#58KansasBig 12 · 3-42.8MPR4.79#103#60SOS23.7PPG29.5PPA-1.02preseason market context↓ 1MPR +0.11
#59UNLVMountain West · 4-32.0MPR7.90#40#92SOS34.0PPG19.8PPA+0.00preseason market context↑ 1MPR -0.03
#60North Dakota StateMountain West · 6-22.0MPR9.23#15#124SOS32.8PPG17.3PPA+0.31preseason market context↑ 1MPR +0.09
#61MarylandBig Ten · 2-51.9MPR3.76#124#32SOS21.8PPG28.1PPA-1.61preseason market context↑ 1MPR +0.08
#62NC StateACC · 3-41.6MPR5.66#91#62SOS27.9PPG26.6PPA-1.56preseason market context↓ 3MPR -0.82
#63Boston CollegeACC · 4-31.1MPR5.33#94#25SOS20.1PPG32.8PPA+1.91preseason market context↑ 6MPR +1.25
#64West VirginiaBig 12 · 5-30.6MPR6.02#83#39SOS20.9PPG32.2PPA+0.17preseason market context↑ 7MPR +1.42
#65CaliforniaACC · 3-50.5MPR4.81#102#57SOS25.9PPG27.7PPA-1.37preseason market context↓ 1MPR -1.08
#66James MadisonSun Belt · 7-20.5MPR9.46#14#126SOS33.6PPG19.7PPA+0.81preseason market context↓ 3MPR -1.26
#67MemphisAmerican · 6-20.5MPR8.20#30#90SOS29.8PPG27.8PPA+0.74preseason market context—MPR +0.05
#68UTSAAmerican · 7-10.2MPR9.96#10#82SOS35.7PPG25.9PPA+2.35preseason market context↑ 7MPR +1.15
#69Iowa StateBig 12 · 3-4-0.1MPR4.69#108#43SOS21.6PPG27.9PPA-0.21preseason market context↓ 4MPR -1.50
#70RutgersBig Ten · 2-5-0.3MPR3.43#126#49SOS22.1PPG31.3PPA-1.36preseason market context↓ 4MPR -1.27
#71Michigan StateBig Ten · 2-6-0.4MPR2.88#129#22SOS19.6PPG32.5PPA-1.30preseason market context↓ 1MPR -0.21
#72SyracuseACC · 3-4-0.4MPR4.31#112#40SOS19.8PPG30.6PPA-0.06preseason market context↑ 4MPR +0.61
#73Fresno StatePac-12 · 4-3-1.1MPR7.07#54#81SOS26.1PPG21.6PPA-0.38preseason market context↑ 1MPR -0.12
#74LibertyConference USA · 6-1-1.3MPR10.09#6#137SOS35.3PPG21.0PPA+1.76preseason market context↑ 6MPR +1.13
#75Oregon StatePac-12 · 5-2-1.4MPR7.55#48#74SOS25.4PPG25.3PPA+2.92preseason market context↓ 2MPR -0.51
#76PurdueBig Ten · 3-4-1.4MPR4.14#116#14SOS18.1PPG31.9PPA+0.72preseason market context↑ 1MPR -0.15
#77ColoradoBig 12 · 2-5-1.4MPR3.57#125#31SOS22.0PPG29.4PPA-0.55preseason market context↓ 9MPR -1.44
#78ArmyAmerican · 5-2-2.0MPR7.93#38#83SOS28.1PPG24.7PPA+0.14preseason market context↑ 1MPR +0.03
#79Air ForceMountain West · 5-2-2.2MPR8.18#31#103SOS29.7PPG22.8PPA+0.94preseason market context↓ 7MPR -1.39
#80NavyAmerican · 2-5-2.5MPR4.79#104#79SOS28.9PPG27.0PPA-3.03preseason market context↓ 2MPR -1.14
#81South FloridaAmerican · 5-2-2.6MPR8.11#35#114SOS30.7PPG25.6PPA-0.16preseason market context—MPR +0.14
#82StanfordACC · 4-4-3.8MPR4.70#107#24SOS17.9PPG32.5PPA+1.20preseason market context↑ 4MPR +1.41
#83Texas StatePac-12 · 4-3-4.1MPR6.24#73#71SOS28.6PPG31.2PPA-0.52preseason market context↓ 1MPR -0.22
#84East CarolinaAmerican · 3-4-4.7MPR6.15#78#99SOS30.0PPG23.7PPA-1.22preseason market context↑ 1MPR +0.10
#85San Diego StatePac-12 · 3-5-5.0MPR4.70#106#75SOS21.9PPG25.5PPA-2.80preseason market context↓ 2MPR -0.63
#86Miami (OH)MAC · 5-3-5.5MPR7.67#46#125SOS25.1PPG18.2PPA+0.34preseason market context↑ 2MPR -0.11
#87Louisiana TechSun Belt · 5-2-5.6MPR8.16#32#97SOS30.2PPG24.3PPA+2.31preseason market context↑ 6MPR +1.19
#88HawaiiMountain West · 2-6-5.7MPR4.78#105#110SOS31.5PPG21.3PPA-2.46preseason market context↑ 9MPR +1.56
#89Western MichiganMAC · 5-3-5.8MPR7.95#37#112SOS27.1PPG17.1PPA+0.68preseason market context↓ 2MPR -0.52
#90TulaneAmerican · 4-4-5.9MPR6.21#75#89SOS29.3PPG23.3PPA-1.03preseason market context↓ 6MPR -1.41
#91Utah StatePac-12 · 2-5-6.5MPR3.93#122#70SOS23.1PPG27.8PPA-1.15preseason market context—MPR +0.07
#92TulsaAmerican · 4-4-6.8MPR6.25#71#100SOS30.6PPG26.0PPA+0.79preseason market context—MPR -0.12
#93Georgia SouthernSun Belt · 3-4-6.9MPR6.08#80#91SOS30.4PPG25.8PPA+1.29preseason market context↓ 3MPR -0.32
#94Western KentuckyConference USA · 3-5-7.2MPR5.33#95#98SOS30.9PPG26.6PPA-1.91preseason market context↑ 2MPR +0.08
#95North TexasAmerican · 6-2-7.4MPR8.16#33#85SOS30.3PPG28.4PPA+2.51preseason market context↑ 5MPR +1.10
#96LouisianaSun Belt · 5-3-7.8MPR7.99#36#133SOS34.3PPG24.1PPA+0.62preseason market context↓ 7MPR -1.41
#97Washington StatePac-12 · 1-7-7.8MPR2.70#130#69SOS22.9PPG25.8PPA-2.84preseason market context↑ 1MPR -0.41
#98Florida AtlanticAmerican · 5-3-7.9MPR6.51#66#86SOS28.0PPG32.3PPA+0.67preseason market context↓ 4MPR -0.76
#99TroySun Belt · 4-4-8.4MPR6.03#82#118SOS26.0PPG28.1PPA-0.68preseason market context↓ 4MPR -1.17
#100ToledoMAC · 6-2-8.7MPR8.98#18#136SOS28.1PPG16.8PPA+1.31preseason market context↑ 3MPR +0.69
#101UConnIndependent · 4-3-8.7MPR5.85#86#94SOS22.3PPG27.6PPA+0.40preseason market context↓ 2MPR -0.34
#102WyomingMountain West · 5-3-8.8MPR6.73#61#107SOS21.7PPG24.7PPA+1.19preseason market context↑ 4MPR +1.37
#103Jacksonville StateConference USA · 6-2-9.1MPR8.76#22#130SOS32.3PPG24.1PPA+1.39preseason market context↓ 1MPR -0.03
#104Colorado StatePac-12 · 3-4-9.1MPR4.56#109#72SOS21.2PPG29.0PPA+0.19preseason market context↑ 3MPR +1.07
#105Old DominionSun Belt · 2-6-9.5MPR4.37#111#111SOS27.5PPG23.5PPA-3.21preseason market context↓ 4MPR -0.97
#106TempleAmerican · 2-5-9.6MPR4.23#113#88SOS27.4PPG29.6PPA-1.27preseason market context↓ 1MPR +0.16
#107MarshallSun Belt · 4-3-9.8MPR7.01#57#127SOS32.0PPG27.5PPA-0.37preseason market context↑ 1MPR +0.52
#108Arkansas StateSun Belt · 4-4-10.1MPR6.24#72#122SOS29.0PPG26.0PPA-0.08preseason market context↓ 4MPR -0.60
#109NevadaMountain West · 3-4-10.2MPR4.56#110#87SOS20.7PPG29.8PPA+0.33preseason market context↑ 3MPR +0.75
#110Appalachian StateSun Belt · 5-2-11.0MPR7.83#42#128SOS29.9PPG26.8PPA+1.94preseason market context↑ 4MPR +0.98
#111OhioMAC · 6-2-11.2MPR8.35#27#135SOS22.6PPG18.9PPA+1.68preseason market context↓ 2MPR -0.49
#112South AlabamaSun Belt · 4-3-11.6MPR6.47#67#117SOS28.4PPG28.6PPA+0.81preseason market context↑ 1MPR -0.31
#113Kennesaw StateConference USA · 2-6-12.0MPR4.21#115#123SOS28.6PPG25.5PPA-2.02preseason market context↓ 3MPR -1.32
#114Florida InternationalConference USA · 3-4-12.4MPR5.60#92#132SOS28.2PPG27.4PPA-0.63preseason market context↓ 3MPR -1.44
#115DelawareConference USA · 4-4-12.4MPR5.92#85#115SOS27.4PPG29.7PPA-0.25preseason market context↑ 3MPR +1.55
#116BuffaloMAC · 5-3-12.4MPR7.24#52#129SOS23.3PPG20.9PPA+1.35preseason market context↓ 1MPR +0.25
#117Central MichiganMAC · 3-5-12.5MPR5.68#90#119SOS27.5PPG20.0PPA-0.64preseason market context↓ 1MPR +0.31
#118Coastal CarolinaSun Belt · 2-5-13.7MPR3.96#121#104SOS25.1PPG29.9PPA-0.79preseason market context↑ 1MPR +0.28
#119San Jose StateMountain West · 4-4-13.8MPR5.43#93#84SOS21.3PPG30.9PPA+1.46preseason market context↓ 2MPR -0.78
#120Bowling GreenMAC · 2-6-14.2MPR4.09#118#120SOS22.8PPG21.6PPA-0.75preseason market context—MPR -0.18
#121RiceAmerican · 1-7-14.9MPR2.14#133#76SOS21.7PPG30.4PPA-1.41preseason market context↑ 2MPR +0.81
#122New Mexico StateConference USA · 3-5-15.5MPR4.83#101#106SOS25.3PPG27.9PPA+0.25preseason market context↓ 1MPR -0.07
#123UABAmerican · 4-3-15.6MPR5.74#89#95SOS26.5PPG32.5PPA+2.21preseason market context↓ 1MPR -0.10
#124Eastern MichiganMAC · 4-5-16.4MPR5.22#98#131SOS22.3PPG26.3PPA-0.67preseason market context—MPR +0.48
#125Missouri StateConference USA · 3-5-19.3MPR4.05#119#93SOS23.4PPG30.2PPA-0.13preseason market context—MPR -1.39
#126Georgia StateSun Belt · 4-3-20.2MPR5.25#97#116SOS24.4PPG34.8PPA+1.43preseason market context↑ 1MPR +0.30
#127Kent StateMAC · 3-6-20.4MPR3.82#123#102SOS21.8PPG27.3PPA+0.36preseason market context↑ 2MPR +1.08
#128Northern IllinoisMountain West · 0-7-21.5MPR1.22#138#78SOS17.4PPG30.8PPA-2.35preseason market context↓ 2MPR -1.12
#129AkronMAC · 1-7-21.6MPR2.37#131#109SOS18.8PPG25.2PPA-2.24preseason market context↓ 1MPR -0.72
#130Middle TennesseeConference USA · 4-4-21.7MPR5.18#99#121SOS22.6PPG31.7PPA+1.38preseason market context—MPR +1.33
#131Southern MissSun Belt · 2-5-22.3MPR3.16#128#101SOS21.0PPG33.3PPA-0.48preseason market context—MPR +1.15
#132UTEPMountain West · 1-6-23.5MPR1.87#136#77SOS16.3PPG32.3PPA-1.48preseason market context—MPR +0.23
#133Ball StateMAC · 3-5-23.9MPR4.23#114#108SOS19.2PPG27.2PPA+0.65preseason market context↑ 1MPR +1.13
#134Sam HoustonConference USA · 1-7-24.1MPR2.04#135#105SOS22.3PPG32.3PPA-1.22preseason market context↓ 1MPR -0.15
#135UL MonroeSun Belt · 1-6-24.8MPR2.09#134#113SOS21.5PPG34.0PPA-1.44preseason market context—MPR +1.48
#136MassachusettsMAC · 4-4-26.9MPR5.16#100#138SOS18.8PPG28.4PPA+2.39preseason market context—MPR -0.10
#137Sacramento StateMAC · 2-7-28.3MPR2.28#132#134SOS17.2PPG33.9PPA-2.34preseason market context—MPR -0.65
#138CharlotteAmerican · 1-7-31.5MPR1.24#137#80SOS15.3PPG38.9PPA-1.12preseason market context—MPR -0.04
No teams match the current filters.
#1Ohio StateBig Ten · 6-1—MPR +0.17
MPR32.4
Proj Wins10.36
SOS#19
Win Total Edge+0.59
Wk MPR+0.17
#2Notre DameIndependent · 6-1—MPR -0.14
MPR27.4
Proj Wins10.40
SOS#55
Win Total Edge-0.78
Wk MPR-0.14
#3GeorgiaSEC · 6-1—MPR -0.10
MPR27.3
Proj Wins10.03
SOS#21
Win Total Edge+0.17
Wk MPR-0.10
#4IndianaBig Ten · 7-1—MPR -0.02
MPR25.1
Proj Wins10.46
SOS#41
Win Total Edge+0.05
Wk MPR-0.02
#5Miami (FL)ACC · 7-0↑ 1MPR +0.58
MPR24.5
Proj Wins11.02
SOS#47
Win Total Edge+0.52
Wk MPR+0.58
#6OregonBig Ten · 4-3↓ 1MPR -1.18
MPR23.9
Proj Wins7.64
SOS#8
Win Total Edge-2.80
Wk MPR-1.18
#7LSUSEC · 6-2↑ 1MPR +1.06
MPR23.7
Proj Wins8.75
SOS#7
Win Total Edge+0.21
Wk MPR+1.06
#8TexasSEC · 5-2↓ 1MPR +0.07
MPR23.3
Proj Wins8.45
SOS#1
Win Total Edge-0.82
Wk MPR+0.07
#9AlabamaSEC · 6-2↑ 1MPR +0.32
MPR20.9
Proj Wins8.99
SOS#5
Win Total Edge+0.41
Wk MPR+0.32
#10Texas TechBig 12 · 6-1↓ 1MPR -1.19
MPR20.1
Proj Wins9.97
SOS#65
Win Total Edge-0.90
Wk MPR-1.19
#11Texas A&MSEC · 4-4—MPR -0.44
MPR18.9
Proj Wins6.16
SOS#15
Win Total Edge-2.26
Wk MPR-0.44
#12Ole MissSEC · 5-2—MPR -0.04
MPR18.6
Proj Wins8.37
SOS#18
Win Total Edge+0.50
Wk MPR-0.04
#13TennesseeSEC · 6-2—MPR -0.73
MPR17.5
Proj Wins8.22
SOS#12
Win Total Edge+0.76
Wk MPR-0.73
#14BYUBig 12 · 6-1—MPR -1.35
MPR16.2
Proj Wins9.76
SOS#50
Win Total Edge+1.08
Wk MPR-1.35
#15OklahomaSEC · 4-3↑ 2MPR +0.12
MPR15.8
Proj Wins6.61
SOS#3
Win Total Edge-1.15
Wk MPR+0.12
#16FloridaSEC · 5-2—MPR -0.14
MPR15.6
Proj Wins7.86
SOS#6
Win Total Edge+0.70
Wk MPR-0.14
#17USCBig Ten · 6-2↓ 2MPR -1.34
MPR15.5
Proj Wins7.80
SOS#20
Win Total Edge-0.52
Wk MPR-1.34
#18MichiganBig Ten · 4-3—MPR +0.28
MPR14.5
Proj Wins6.67
SOS#10
Win Total Edge-1.47
Wk MPR+0.28
#19Penn StateBig Ten · 3-4—MPR +0.09
MPR14.2
Proj Wins6.77
SOS#61
Win Total Edge-2.06
Wk MPR+0.09
#20MissouriSEC · 5-2↑ 1MPR +0.01
MPR13.8
Proj Wins7.34
SOS#16
Win Total Edge+0.76
Wk MPR+0.01
#21UtahBig 12 · 7-0↑ 2MPR -0.02
MPR13.4
Proj Wins10.00
SOS#52
Win Total Edge+1.22
Wk MPR-0.02
#22ArizonaBig 12 · 6-1↑ 3MPR +1.20
MPR13.2
Proj Wins8.84
SOS#59
Win Total Edge+1.47
Wk MPR+1.20
#23IowaBig Ten · 5-2↓ 3MPR -0.85
MPR13.1
Proj Wins8.25
SOS#35
Win Total Edge+0.64
Wk MPR-0.85
#24NebraskaBig Ten · 5-2↓ 2MPR -0.47
MPR13.0
Proj Wins7.48
SOS#26
Win Total Edge+1.18
Wk MPR-0.47
#25South CarolinaSEC · 4-3↑ 2MPR +0.59
MPR12.4
Proj Wins6.13
SOS#9
Win Total Edge-0.19
Wk MPR+0.59
#26WashingtonBig Ten · 4-3↑ 3MPR +0.18
MPR11.8
Proj Wins6.05
SOS#30
Win Total Edge-1.81
Wk MPR+0.18
#27LouisvilleACC · 4-3↓ 1MPR +0.02
MPR11.8
Proj Wins7.42
SOS#42
Win Total Edge-0.77
Wk MPR+0.02
#28HoustonBig 12 · 6-2—MPR -0.33
MPR11.4
Proj Wins8.93
SOS#58
Win Total Edge+0.75
Wk MPR-0.33
#29SMUACC · 6-1↑ 3MPR +1.53
MPR11.3
Proj Wins8.90
SOS#54
Win Total Edge+0.29
Wk MPR+1.53
#30AuburnSEC · 4-3↓ 6MPR -1.10
MPR11.1
Proj Wins6.78
SOS#11
Win Total Edge+0.24
Wk MPR-1.10
#31Oklahoma StateBig 12 · 5-2↑ 2MPR +1.39
MPR11.1
Proj Wins7.93
SOS#53
Win Total Edge+1.70
Wk MPR+1.39
#32ClemsonACC · 4-3↓ 2MPR -0.74
MPR10.1
Proj Wins6.95
SOS#37
Win Total Edge-0.77
Wk MPR-0.74
#33UCLABig Ten · 7-0↓ 2MPR +0.20
MPR10.1
Proj Wins9.79
SOS#44
Win Total Edge+3.47
Wk MPR+0.20
#34Boise StatePac-12 · 6-1—MPR +0.32
MPR9.7
Proj Wins10.26
SOS#73
Win Total Edge+1.46
Wk MPR+0.32
#35Virginia TechACC · 6-2↑ 1MPR +0.51
MPR9.7
Proj Wins8.12
SOS#63
Win Total Edge+1.34
Wk MPR+0.51
#36Florida StateACC · 3-4↓ 1MPR +0.13
MPR9.3
Proj Wins5.78
SOS#29
Win Total Edge-0.29
Wk MPR+0.13
#37NorthwesternBig Ten · 6-1↑ 4MPR +1.19
MPR9.0
Proj Wins7.70
SOS#23
Win Total Edge+2.36
Wk MPR+1.19
#38IllinoisBig Ten · 4-3↑ 4MPR +1.51
MPR8.7
Proj Wins6.34
SOS#27
Win Total Edge-0.82
Wk MPR+1.51
#39KentuckySEC · 7-1↑ 1MPR +0.81
MPR8.7
Proj Wins8.46
SOS#4
Win Total Edge+3.70
Wk MPR+0.81
#40Wake ForestACC · 6-1↓ 1MPR -0.36
MPR8.0
Proj Wins9.20
SOS#68
Win Total Edge+3.51
Wk MPR-0.36
#41TCUBig 12 · 3-4↓ 4MPR -1.31
MPR7.8
Proj Wins5.25
SOS#45
Win Total Edge-1.96
Wk MPR-1.31
#42Kansas StateBig 12 · 4-3↓ 4MPR -0.90
MPR7.6
Proj Wins6.62
SOS#66
Win Total Edge-1.66
Wk MPR-0.90
#43MinnesotaBig Ten · 5-2↑ 6MPR +0.69
MPR6.4
Proj Wins6.73
SOS#38
Win Total Edge+0.54
Wk MPR+0.69
#44WisconsinBig Ten · 5-2↑ 8MPR +1.24
MPR6.3
Proj Wins7.69
SOS#51
Win Total Edge+1.23
Wk MPR+1.24
#45DukeACC · 5-2—MPR +0.08
MPR6.2
Proj Wins7.10
SOS#48
Win Total Edge+1.44
Wk MPR+0.08
#46VirginiaACC · 4-4—MPR +0.10
MPR6.1
Proj Wins5.74
SOS#67
Win Total Edge-2.05
Wk MPR+0.10
#47PittsburghACC · 5-3↓ 3MPR -0.48
MPR6.1
Proj Wins7.01
SOS#56
Win Total Edge-0.76
Wk MPR-0.48
#48North CarolinaACC · 4-3↓ 5MPR -1.01
MPR5.9
Proj Wins6.29
SOS#33
Win Total Edge+1.64
Wk MPR-1.01
#49Mississippi StateSEC · 4-3↓ 1MPR +0.02
MPR5.8
Proj Wins6.17
SOS#13
Win Total Edge+1.50
Wk MPR+0.02
#50ArkansasSEC · 3-4—MPR -0.20
MPR5.2
Proj Wins4.12
SOS#2
Win Total Edge-0.08
Wk MPR-0.20
#51VanderbiltSEC · 3-5↓ 4MPR -0.71
MPR5.2
Proj Wins4.03
SOS#17
Win Total Edge-1.63
Wk MPR-0.71
#52Arizona StateBig 12 · 4-3↑ 2MPR +1.19
MPR5.0
Proj Wins6.02
SOS#34
Win Total Edge-0.48
Wk MPR+1.19
#53BaylorBig 12 · 5-3↓ 2MPR -0.37
MPR4.8
Proj Wins6.33
SOS#46
Win Total Edge+0.45
Wk MPR-0.37
#54CincinnatiBig 12 · 5-2↑ 2MPR +1.50
MPR4.5
Proj Wins7.04
SOS#36
Win Total Edge+1.84
Wk MPR+1.50
#55UCFBig 12 · 4-4↑ 3MPR +1.23
MPR3.9
Proj Wins6.23
SOS#64
Win Total Edge+0.51
Wk MPR+1.23
#56New MexicoMountain West · 6-1↓ 1MPR -0.46
MPR2.9
Proj Wins9.83
SOS#96
Win Total Edge+1.71
Wk MPR-0.46
#57Georgia TechACC · 2-5↓ 4MPR -1.06
MPR2.8
Proj Wins3.39
SOS#28
Win Total Edge-2.97
Wk MPR-1.06
#58KansasBig 12 · 3-4↓ 1MPR +0.11
MPR2.8
Proj Wins4.79
SOS#60
Win Total Edge-1.02
Wk MPR+0.11
#59UNLVMountain West · 4-3↑ 1MPR -0.03
MPR2.0
Proj Wins7.90
SOS#92
Win Total Edge+0.00
Wk MPR-0.03
#60North Dakota StateMountain West · 6-2↑ 1MPR +0.09
MPR2.0
Proj Wins9.23
SOS#124
Win Total Edge+0.31
Wk MPR+0.09
#61MarylandBig Ten · 2-5↑ 1MPR +0.08
MPR1.9
Proj Wins3.76
SOS#32
Win Total Edge-1.61
Wk MPR+0.08
#62NC StateACC · 3-4↓ 3MPR -0.82
MPR1.6
Proj Wins5.66
SOS#62
Win Total Edge-1.56
Wk MPR-0.82
#63Boston CollegeACC · 4-3↑ 6MPR +1.25
MPR1.1
Proj Wins5.33
SOS#25
Win Total Edge+1.91
Wk MPR+1.25
#64West VirginiaBig 12 · 5-3↑ 7MPR +1.42
MPR0.6
Proj Wins6.02
SOS#39
Win Total Edge+0.17
Wk MPR+1.42
#65CaliforniaACC · 3-5↓ 1MPR -1.08
MPR0.5
Proj Wins4.81
SOS#57
Win Total Edge-1.37
Wk MPR-1.08
#66James MadisonSun Belt · 7-2↓ 3MPR -1.26
MPR0.5
Proj Wins9.46
SOS#126
Win Total Edge+0.81
Wk MPR-1.26
#67MemphisAmerican · 6-2—MPR +0.05
MPR0.5
Proj Wins8.20
SOS#90
Win Total Edge+0.74
Wk MPR+0.05
#68UTSAAmerican · 7-1↑ 7MPR +1.15
MPR0.2
Proj Wins9.96
SOS#82
Win Total Edge+2.35
Wk MPR+1.15
#69Iowa StateBig 12 · 3-4↓ 4MPR -1.50
MPR-0.1
Proj Wins4.69
SOS#43
Win Total Edge-0.21
Wk MPR-1.50
#70RutgersBig Ten · 2-5↓ 4MPR -1.27
MPR-0.3
Proj Wins3.43
SOS#49
Win Total Edge-1.36
Wk MPR-1.27
#71Michigan StateBig Ten · 2-6↓ 1MPR -0.21
MPR-0.4
Proj Wins2.88
SOS#22
Win Total Edge-1.30
Wk MPR-0.21
#72SyracuseACC · 3-4↑ 4MPR +0.61
MPR-0.4
Proj Wins4.31
SOS#40
Win Total Edge-0.06
Wk MPR+0.61
#73Fresno StatePac-12 · 4-3↑ 1MPR -0.12
MPR-1.1
Proj Wins7.07
SOS#81
Win Total Edge-0.38
Wk MPR-0.12
#74LibertyConference USA · 6-1↑ 6MPR +1.13
MPR-1.3
Proj Wins10.09
SOS#137
Win Total Edge+1.76
Wk MPR+1.13
#75Oregon StatePac-12 · 5-2↓ 2MPR -0.51
MPR-1.4
Proj Wins7.55
SOS#74
Win Total Edge+2.92
Wk MPR-0.51
#76PurdueBig Ten · 3-4↑ 1MPR -0.15
MPR-1.4
Proj Wins4.14
SOS#14
Win Total Edge+0.72
Wk MPR-0.15
#77ColoradoBig 12 · 2-5↓ 9MPR -1.44
MPR-1.4
Proj Wins3.57
SOS#31
Win Total Edge-0.55
Wk MPR-1.44
#78ArmyAmerican · 5-2↑ 1MPR +0.03
MPR-2.0
Proj Wins7.93
SOS#83
Win Total Edge+0.14
Wk MPR+0.03
#79Air ForceMountain West · 5-2↓ 7MPR -1.39
MPR-2.2
Proj Wins8.18
SOS#103
Win Total Edge+0.94
Wk MPR-1.39
#80NavyAmerican · 2-5↓ 2MPR -1.14
MPR-2.5
Proj Wins4.79
SOS#79
Win Total Edge-3.03
Wk MPR-1.14
#81South FloridaAmerican · 5-2—MPR +0.14
MPR-2.6
Proj Wins8.11
SOS#114
Win Total Edge-0.16
Wk MPR+0.14
#82StanfordACC · 4-4↑ 4MPR +1.41
MPR-3.8
Proj Wins4.70
SOS#24
Win Total Edge+1.20
Wk MPR+1.41
#83Texas StatePac-12 · 4-3↓ 1MPR -0.22
MPR-4.1
Proj Wins6.24
SOS#71
Win Total Edge-0.52
Wk MPR-0.22
#84East CarolinaAmerican · 3-4↑ 1MPR +0.10
MPR-4.7
Proj Wins6.15
SOS#99
Win Total Edge-1.22
Wk MPR+0.10
#85San Diego StatePac-12 · 3-5↓ 2MPR -0.63
MPR-5.0
Proj Wins4.70
SOS#75
Win Total Edge-2.80
Wk MPR-0.63
#86Miami (OH)MAC · 5-3↑ 2MPR -0.11
MPR-5.5
Proj Wins7.67
SOS#125
Win Total Edge+0.34
Wk MPR-0.11
#87Louisiana TechSun Belt · 5-2↑ 6MPR +1.19
MPR-5.6
Proj Wins8.16
SOS#97
Win Total Edge+2.31
Wk MPR+1.19
#88HawaiiMountain West · 2-6↑ 9MPR +1.56
MPR-5.7
Proj Wins4.78
SOS#110
Win Total Edge-2.46
Wk MPR+1.56
#89Western MichiganMAC · 5-3↓ 2MPR -0.52
MPR-5.8
Proj Wins7.95
SOS#112
Win Total Edge+0.68
Wk MPR-0.52
#90TulaneAmerican · 4-4↓ 6MPR -1.41
MPR-5.9
Proj Wins6.21
SOS#89
Win Total Edge-1.03
Wk MPR-1.41
#91Utah StatePac-12 · 2-5—MPR +0.07
MPR-6.5
Proj Wins3.93
SOS#70
Win Total Edge-1.15
Wk MPR+0.07
#92TulsaAmerican · 4-4—MPR -0.12
MPR-6.8
Proj Wins6.25
SOS#100
Win Total Edge+0.79
Wk MPR-0.12
#93Georgia SouthernSun Belt · 3-4↓ 3MPR -0.32
MPR-6.9
Proj Wins6.08
SOS#91
Win Total Edge+1.29
Wk MPR-0.32
#94Western KentuckyConference USA · 3-5↑ 2MPR +0.08
MPR-7.2
Proj Wins5.33
SOS#98
Win Total Edge-1.91
Wk MPR+0.08
#95North TexasAmerican · 6-2↑ 5MPR +1.10
MPR-7.4
Proj Wins8.16
SOS#85
Win Total Edge+2.51
Wk MPR+1.10
#96LouisianaSun Belt · 5-3↓ 7MPR -1.41
MPR-7.8
Proj Wins7.99
SOS#133
Win Total Edge+0.62
Wk MPR-1.41
#97Washington StatePac-12 · 1-7↑ 1MPR -0.41
MPR-7.8
Proj Wins2.70
SOS#69
Win Total Edge-2.84
Wk MPR-0.41
#98Florida AtlanticAmerican · 5-3↓ 4MPR -0.76
MPR-7.9
Proj Wins6.51
SOS#86
Win Total Edge+0.67
Wk MPR-0.76
#99TroySun Belt · 4-4↓ 4MPR -1.17
MPR-8.4
Proj Wins6.03
SOS#118
Win Total Edge-0.68
Wk MPR-1.17
#100ToledoMAC · 6-2↑ 3MPR +0.69
MPR-8.7
Proj Wins8.98
SOS#136
Win Total Edge+1.31
Wk MPR+0.69
#101UConnIndependent · 4-3↓ 2MPR -0.34
MPR-8.7
Proj Wins5.85
SOS#94
Win Total Edge+0.40
Wk MPR-0.34
#102WyomingMountain West · 5-3↑ 4MPR +1.37
MPR-8.8
Proj Wins6.73
SOS#107
Win Total Edge+1.19
Wk MPR+1.37
#103Jacksonville StateConference USA · 6-2↓ 1MPR -0.03
MPR-9.1
Proj Wins8.76
SOS#130
Win Total Edge+1.39
Wk MPR-0.03
#104Colorado StatePac-12 · 3-4↑ 3MPR +1.07
MPR-9.1
Proj Wins4.56
SOS#72
Win Total Edge+0.19
Wk MPR+1.07
#105Old DominionSun Belt · 2-6↓ 4MPR -0.97
MPR-9.5
Proj Wins4.37
SOS#111
Win Total Edge-3.21
Wk MPR-0.97
#106TempleAmerican · 2-5↓ 1MPR +0.16
MPR-9.6
Proj Wins4.23
SOS#88
Win Total Edge-1.27
Wk MPR+0.16
#107MarshallSun Belt · 4-3↑ 1MPR +0.52
MPR-9.8
Proj Wins7.01
SOS#127
Win Total Edge-0.37
Wk MPR+0.52
#108Arkansas StateSun Belt · 4-4↓ 4MPR -0.60
MPR-10.1
Proj Wins6.24
SOS#122
Win Total Edge-0.08
Wk MPR-0.60
#109NevadaMountain West · 3-4↑ 3MPR +0.75
MPR-10.2
Proj Wins4.56
SOS#87
Win Total Edge+0.33
Wk MPR+0.75
#110Appalachian StateSun Belt · 5-2↑ 4MPR +0.98
MPR-11.0
Proj Wins7.83
SOS#128
Win Total Edge+1.94
Wk MPR+0.98
#111OhioMAC · 6-2↓ 2MPR -0.49
MPR-11.2
Proj Wins8.35
SOS#135
Win Total Edge+1.68
Wk MPR-0.49
#112South AlabamaSun Belt · 4-3↑ 1MPR -0.31
MPR-11.6
Proj Wins6.47
SOS#117
Win Total Edge+0.81
Wk MPR-0.31
#113Kennesaw StateConference USA · 2-6↓ 3MPR -1.32
MPR-12.0
Proj Wins4.21
SOS#123
Win Total Edge-2.02
Wk MPR-1.32
#114Florida InternationalConference USA · 3-4↓ 3MPR -1.44
MPR-12.4
Proj Wins5.60
SOS#132
Win Total Edge-0.63
Wk MPR-1.44
#115DelawareConference USA · 4-4↑ 3MPR +1.55
MPR-12.4
Proj Wins5.92
SOS#115
Win Total Edge-0.25
Wk MPR+1.55
#116BuffaloMAC · 5-3↓ 1MPR +0.25
MPR-12.4
Proj Wins7.24
SOS#129
Win Total Edge+1.35
Wk MPR+0.25
#117Central MichiganMAC · 3-5↓ 1MPR +0.31
MPR-12.5
Proj Wins5.68
SOS#119
Win Total Edge-0.64
Wk MPR+0.31
#118Coastal CarolinaSun Belt · 2-5↑ 1MPR +0.28
MPR-13.7
Proj Wins3.96
SOS#104
Win Total Edge-0.79
Wk MPR+0.28
#119San Jose StateMountain West · 4-4↓ 2MPR -0.78
MPR-13.8
Proj Wins5.43
SOS#84
Win Total Edge+1.46
Wk MPR-0.78
#120Bowling GreenMAC · 2-6—MPR -0.18
MPR-14.2
Proj Wins4.09
SOS#120
Win Total Edge-0.75
Wk MPR-0.18
#121RiceAmerican · 1-7↑ 2MPR +0.81
MPR-14.9
Proj Wins2.14
SOS#76
Win Total Edge-1.41
Wk MPR+0.81
#122New Mexico StateConference USA · 3-5↓ 1MPR -0.07
MPR-15.5
Proj Wins4.83
SOS#106
Win Total Edge+0.25
Wk MPR-0.07
#123UABAmerican · 4-3↓ 1MPR -0.10
MPR-15.6
Proj Wins5.74
SOS#95
Win Total Edge+2.21
Wk MPR-0.10
#124Eastern MichiganMAC · 4-5—MPR +0.48
MPR-16.4
Proj Wins5.22
SOS#131
Win Total Edge-0.67
Wk MPR+0.48
#125Missouri StateConference USA · 3-5—MPR -1.39
MPR-19.3
Proj Wins4.05
SOS#93
Win Total Edge-0.13
Wk MPR-1.39
#126Georgia StateSun Belt · 4-3↑ 1MPR +0.30
MPR-20.2
Proj Wins5.25
SOS#116
Win Total Edge+1.43
Wk MPR+0.30
#127Kent StateMAC · 3-6↑ 2MPR +1.08
MPR-20.4
Proj Wins3.82
SOS#102
Win Total Edge+0.36
Wk MPR+1.08
#128Northern IllinoisMountain West · 0-7↓ 2MPR -1.12
MPR-21.5
Proj Wins1.22
SOS#78
Win Total Edge-2.35
Wk MPR-1.12
#129AkronMAC · 1-7↓ 1MPR -0.72
MPR-21.6
Proj Wins2.37
SOS#109
Win Total Edge-2.24
Wk MPR-0.72
#130Middle TennesseeConference USA · 4-4—MPR +1.33
MPR-21.7
Proj Wins5.18
SOS#121
Win Total Edge+1.38
Wk MPR+1.33
#131Southern MissSun Belt · 2-5—MPR +1.15
MPR-22.3
Proj Wins3.16
SOS#101
Win Total Edge-0.48
Wk MPR+1.15
#132UTEPMountain West · 1-6—MPR +0.23
MPR-23.5
Proj Wins1.87
SOS#77
Win Total Edge-1.48
Wk MPR+0.23
#133Ball StateMAC · 3-5↑ 1MPR +1.13
MPR-23.9
Proj Wins4.23
SOS#108
Win Total Edge+0.65
Wk MPR+1.13
#134Sam HoustonConference USA · 1-7↓ 1MPR -0.15
MPR-24.1
Proj Wins2.04
SOS#105
Win Total Edge-1.22
Wk MPR-0.15
#135UL MonroeSun Belt · 1-6—MPR +1.48
MPR-24.8
Proj Wins2.09
SOS#113
Win Total Edge-1.44
Wk MPR+1.48
#136MassachusettsMAC · 4-4—MPR -0.10
MPR-26.9
Proj Wins5.16
SOS#138
Win Total Edge+2.39
Wk MPR-0.10
#137Sacramento StateMAC · 2-7—MPR -0.65
MPR-28.3
Proj Wins2.28
SOS#134
Win Total Edge-2.34
Wk MPR-0.65
#138CharlotteAmerican · 1-7—MPR -0.04
MPR-31.5
Proj Wins1.24
SOS#80
Win Total Edge-1.12
Wk MPR-0.04

Reading the board: MPR is current neutral-field strength after the Week 8 closeout. Projected Wins incorporates the remaining schedule. SOS ranks schedule difficulty, and Wk Move shows the Week 8 rank and MPR response. Win-total edges remain the labeled preseason comparison layer.

Season-win market gaps use the saved August 8 preseason quote as a reference. They are not current betting recommendations.