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GameDay Matrix
Conference Intelligence · MAC

MAC Matrix

Current team strength, projected path, Week 0 movement and the Week 1 board — with preseason title probabilities visibly separated from current model state.

13 Teams0 MPR Top 2513 Week 1 Games1 Certified Week 0 Moves
Current MPR LeaderMiami (OH)National #78 · MPR -2.1
Projected Wins LeaderMiami (OH)8.54 expected wins
Conference Avg MPR-15.313-team current average
National Top 250By current MPR rank
Week 0 Reviews21 cleared update gate
Conference Headlines

Latest MAC news and movement.

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Current Strength

Team-by-Team Outlook

Conference rank is based on current MPR. Projected Wins and SOS describe the path. Title probabilities are preseason references.

13 MAC teams
RankTeamMPRProj WinsSOSTitle Game*Move
#1 Miami (OH)National #78 · 0-0 -2.1MPR 8.54Proj Wins #125SOS 64%Title Game* —
#2 Western MichiganNational #95 · 0-0 -6.4MPR 6.96Proj Wins #107SOS 31%Title Game* —
#3 ToledoNational #108 · 0-0 -10.9MPR 6.91Proj Wins #134SOS 27%Title Game* —
#4 BuffaloNational #110 · 0-0 -11.5MPR 6.40Proj Wins #128SOS 16%Title Game* —
#5 Central MichiganNational #112 · 0-0 -11.9MPR 5.81Proj Wins #114SOS 14%Title Game* —
#6 Bowling GreenNational #115 · 0-0 -12.9MPR 5.50Proj Wins #121SOS 13%Title Game* —
#7 OhioNational #117 · 0-0 -13.1MPR 6.21Proj Wins #131SOS 16%Title Game* —
#8 Eastern MichiganNational #119 · 1-0 -13.9MPR 6.23Proj Wins #133SOS 13%Title Game* ▲ +0.5
#9 AkronNational #127 · 0-0 -18.9MPR 3.72Proj Wins #110SOS 2%Title Game* —
#10 Kent StateNational #128 · 0-0 -19.7MPR 3.62Proj Wins #94SOS 2%Title Game* —
#11 Sacramento StateNational #130 · 0-1 -22.7MPR 3.85Proj Wins #137SOS 0%Title Game* —
#12 Ball StateNational #134 · 0-0 -24.9MPR 2.90Proj Wins #115SOS 1%Title Game* —
#13 MassachusettsNational #137 · 0-0 -30.3MPR 2.05Proj Wins #136SOS 0%Title Game* —
Data-vintage rule: MPR, national rank and projected wins reflect the current approved Week 1 team state. Title-game and conference-champion probabilities remain the certified preseason simulation.
Evidence In

Week 0 Matrix Moves

Every MAC team that played in Week 0 is shown, including results reviewed without a strength adjustment.

Model Updated Eastern Michigan

Beat Sacramento State 28-17

MPR +0.5 · Projected Wins +0.36
 Model Held Sacramento State

Lost at Eastern Michigan 17-28

MPR 0.0 · Projected Wins 0.00
Week 1 Locked

MAC Games on the Board

Current locked Week 1 GameDay Matrix projections for every game involving a MAC team.

SAT, SEP 5High
Ohio
10–34
Nebraska
FavoriteNebraska 94%
Projected Total44.4
SAT, SEP 5Low
Tarleton State
25–22
Bowling Green
FavoriteTarleton State 56%
Projected Total47.0
THU, SEP 3Low
Albany
22–25
Buffalo
FavoriteBuffalo 59%
Projected Total47.4
SAT, SEP 5Low
Mississippi Valley State
10–42
Sacramento State
FavoriteSacramento State 98%
Projected Total52.5
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