2026 MATRIXWEEK 1138 FBS TEAMS91 GAMESCOLLEGE FOOTBALL DECODEDMODEL + MARKET + CONTEXT
GameDay Matrix
Conference Intelligence · SEC

SEC Matrix

Current team strength, projected path, Week 0 movement and the Week 1 board — with preseason title probabilities visibly separated from current model state.

16 Teams12 MPR Top 2516 Week 1 Games0 Certified Week 0 Moves
Current MPR LeaderGeorgiaNational #4 · MPR 26.5
Projected Wins LeaderGeorgia10.01 expected wins
Conference Avg MPR14.816-team current average
National Top 2512By current MPR rank
Week 0 Reviews00 cleared update gate
Conference Headlines

Latest SEC news and movement.

Publisher headlines · auto-updating
Loading conference headlines…
Current Strength

Team-by-Team Outlook

Conference rank is based on current MPR. Projected Wins and SOS describe the path. Title probabilities are preseason references.

16 SEC teams
RankTeamMPRProj WinsSOSTitle Game*Move
#1 GeorgiaNational #4 · 0-0 26.5MPR 10.01Proj Wins #12SOS 58%Title Game*
#2 TexasNational #6 · 0-0 24.6MPR 8.77Proj Wins #1SOS 37%Title Game*
#3 LSUNational #9 · 0-0 21.4MPR 8.97Proj Wins #11SOS 32%Title Game*
#4 Texas A&MNational #10 · 0-0 20.9MPR 8.44Proj Wins #20SOS 17%Title Game*
#5 AlabamaNational #11 · 0-0 17.9MPR 8.11Proj Wins #5SOS 15%Title Game*
#6 OklahomaNational #13 · 0-0 17.8MPR 7.51Proj Wins #4SOS 10%Title Game*
#7 Ole MissNational #15 · 0-0 16.7MPR 7.14Proj Wins #13SOS 5%Title Game*
#8 TennesseeNational #18 · 0-0 15.8MPR 7.32Proj Wins #8SOS 7%Title Game*
#9 FloridaNational #20 · 0-0 14.8MPR 7.09Proj Wins #6SOS 6%Title Game*
#10 MissouriNational #21 · 0-0 14.3MPR 7.13Proj Wins #14SOS 5%Title Game*
#11 South CarolinaNational #24 · 0-0 12.4MPR 6.67Proj Wins #15SOS 4%Title Game*
#12 AuburnNational #25 · 0-0 12.0MPR 6.71Proj Wins #21SOS 3%Title Game*
#13 VanderbiltNational #34 · 0-0 9.6MPR 6.26Proj Wins #23SOS 1%Title Game*
#14 ArkansasNational #49 · 0-0 4.6MPR 3.85Proj Wins #2SOS 0%Title Game*
#15 Mississippi StateNational #50 · 0-0 4.3MPR 4.36Proj Wins #9SOS 0%Title Game*
#16 KentuckyNational #56 · 0-0 3.7MPR 4.12Proj Wins #3SOS 0%Title Game*
Data-vintage rule: MPR, national rank and projected wins reflect the current approved Week 1 team state. Title-game and conference-champion probabilities remain the certified preseason simulation.
Evidence In

Week 0 Matrix Moves

Every SEC team that played in Week 0 is shown, including results reviewed without a strength adjustment.

No Week 0 games: no teams in this group entered the Week 0 model-review gate. Current team state remains the approved Week 1 baseline.
Week 1 Locked

SEC Games on the Board

Current locked Week 1 GameDay Matrix projections for every game involving a SEC team.

SAT, SEP 5Medium
17–28
FavoriteLSU 76%
Projected Total45.1
SAT, SEP 5Medium
23–31
FavoriteAuburn 70%
Projected Total53.7
SAT, SEP 5Medium
Austin Peay
13–42
FavoriteVanderbilt 98%
Projected Total54.7
FRI, SEP 4High
4–43
FavoriteOklahoma 100%
Projected Total47.4
SAT, SEP 5Low
Youngstown State
18–31
FavoriteKentucky 82%
Projected Total48.9
SAT, SEP 5High
Tennessee State
5–47
FavoriteGeorgia 100%
Projected Total51.7
SAT, SEP 5Medium
Furman
8–50
FavoriteTennessee 100%
Projected Total57.1
THU, SEP 3Medium
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
5–46
FavoriteMissouri 100%
Projected Total50.6
SAT, SEP 5Low
North Alabama
8–50
FavoriteArkansas 100%
Projected Total58.2
← All Conferences