Original October 26 ticket edition, preserved as published. The old hit estimates were not calibrated and are no longer used. Open Friday tickets →
Week 9 · Saturday, October 31 · October 26 edition · Weekend tickets Matrix Unhinged. Week 9 combinations from published Matrix forecasts and exact recorded quotes.
Published Week 9 combinations DraftKings via Recorded DraftKings Monday observation Quotes observed Oct 26, 10:58 PM ET (Oct 26, 7:58 PM Phoenix)
Recorded quotes, not a live sportsbook feed. Confirm final availability, weather and prices before kickoff.
Run your ticket numbers. Change the example stake to update every return below.
Example stake ($) $0.01–$10,000 · up to two decimals
Parlay A · 3 spread legs Published
Penn State, Ohio State, Fresno State. Week 9 model and exact October 26 recorded quotes.
Ticket legs DraftKings
Penn State -7.5 Purdue at Penn State
-112 Ohio State -6.5 Ohio State at USC
-115 Fresno State +5.5 Oregon State at Fresno State
-108 Combined odds (approx.) +582
$10.00 total return$68.16
Net profit if all win $58.16
Before kickoff Quotes can move; actual placed stakes are unknown.
Model view & the case for each leg 39.2% raw hit estimate
Raw estimates, assuming independent games. These are not validated ticket hit rates and are not adjusted for the latest injuries or weather.
Purdue 17 – Penn State 35 Raw cover 76.7% Ohio State 35 – USC 19 Raw cover 72.7% Oregon State 21 – Fresno State 24 Raw cover 70.3% Ticket estimate: 39.2%. Reducing each leg by five percentage points lowers it to 31.73%.
Penn State Raw model gap 11.0 points at the recorded quote.
See dated player and game-window weather context. Quotes can move.
Team / availability source ↗ Ohio State Raw model gap 9.0 points at the recorded quote.
See dated player and game-window weather context. Quotes can move.
Team / availability source ↗ Fresno State Raw model gap 8.0 points at the recorded quote.
See dated player and game-window weather context. Quotes can move.
Team / availability source ↗
Parlay B · 3 spread legs Published
South Florida, Boise State, Texas Tech. Week 9 model and exact October 26 recorded quotes.
Ticket legs DraftKings
South Florida -8.5 UAB at South Florida
-105 Boise State -11.5 Texas State at Boise State
-108 Texas Tech -3.5 Arizona at Texas Tech
-108 Combined odds (approx.) +624
$10.00 total return$72.42
Net profit if all win $62.42
Before kickoff Quotes can move; actual placed stakes are unknown.
Model view & the case for each leg 29.5% raw hit estimate
Raw estimates, assuming independent games. These are not validated ticket hit rates and are not adjusted for the latest injuries or weather.
UAB 21 – South Florida 37 Raw cover 68.3% Texas State 23 – Boise State 40 Raw cover 66.3% Arizona 21 – Texas Tech 30 Raw cover 65.1% Ticket estimate: 29.5%. Reducing each leg by five percentage points lowers it to 23.34%.
South Florida Raw model gap 7.1 points at the recorded quote.
See dated player and game-window weather context. Quotes can move.
Team / availability source ↗ Boise State Raw model gap 6.3 points at the recorded quote.
See dated player and game-window weather context. Quotes can move.
Team / availability source ↗ Texas Tech Raw model gap 5.8 points at the recorded quote.
See dated player and game-window weather context. Quotes can move.
Team / availability source ↗
Perfect Storm · 3 moneyline upsets Published
Fresno State, UL Monroe, Clemson. Week 9 model and exact October 26 recorded quotes.
Ticket legs DraftKings
Fresno State ML Oregon State at Fresno State
+185 UL Monroe ML Southern Miss at UL Monroe
+142 Clemson ML Clemson at Florida State
+180 Combined odds (approx.) +1,831
$10.00 total return$193.12
Net profit if all win $183.12
Before kickoff Quotes can move; actual placed stakes are unknown.
Model view & the case for each leg 12.42% raw hit estimate
Raw estimates, assuming independent games. These are not validated ticket hit rates and are not adjusted for the latest injuries or weather.
Oregon State 21 – Fresno State 24 Raw win 56.7% Southern Miss 27 – UL Monroe 27 Raw win 48.7% Clemson 23 – Florida State 25 Raw win 45.0% Ticket estimate: 12.42%. Reducing each leg by five percentage points lowers it to 9.03%.
The optional extensions How far do you want to swing? Both extensions repeat the core three upsets. Adding teams raises the payout and lowers the chance of a clean ticket.
Perfect Storm 4-team · 4 moneyline upsets Published
Fresno State, UL Monroe, Clemson, Army.
Week 9 model and exact October 26 recorded quotes.
Fresno State ML +185 UL Monroe ML +142 Clemson ML +180 Army ML +195 Combined odds (approx.) +5,597
$10.00 total return$569.69
Net profit if all win $559.69
Quotes can move; actual placed stakes are unknown.
Raw independent hit estimate: 5.44% · unadjusted
Perfect Storm 5-team · 5 moneyline upsets Published
Fresno State, UL Monroe, Clemson, Army, South Alabama.
Week 9 model and exact October 26 recorded quotes.
Fresno State ML +185 UL Monroe ML +142 Clemson ML +180 Army ML +195 South Alabama ML +180 Combined odds (approx.) +15,851
$10.00 total return$1,595.14
Net profit if all win $1,585.14
Quotes can move; actual placed stakes are unknown.
Raw independent hit estimate: 2.19% · unadjusted How to read the estimates & returns Raw independent-leg model probabilities, without correlation or invented personnel/weather adjustments.
Hypothetical gross returns; no actual placed stakes or realized profit supplied.
Tickets overlap: the four- and five-team variants include the same three core moneyline picks. Returns describe separate tickets, not independent portfolio outcomes.
Recorded quote source ↗ 