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GameDay Matrix
Conference Intelligence · ACC

ACC Matrix

Current team strength, projected path, Week 0 movement and the Week 1 board — with preseason title probabilities visibly separated from current model state.

17 Teams2 MPR Top 2512 Week 1 Games4 Certified Week 0 Moves
Current MPR LeaderMiami (FL)National #8 · MPR 21.9
Projected Wins LeaderMiami (FL)10.00 expected wins
Conference Avg MPR6.917-team current average
National Top 252By current MPR rank
Week 0 Reviews54 cleared update gate
Conference Headlines

Latest ACC news and movement.

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Current Strength

Team-by-Team Outlook

Conference rank is based on current MPR. Projected Wins and SOS describe the path. Title probabilities are preseason references.

17 ACC teams
RankTeamMPRProj WinsSOSTitle Game*Move
#1 Miami (FL)National #8 · 0-0 21.9MPR 10.00Proj Wins #49SOS 78%Title Game*
#2 ClemsonNational #23 · 0-0 12.8MPR 7.82Proj Wins #38SOS 16%Title Game*
#3 SMUNational #27 · 0-0 11.4MPR 8.07Proj Wins #54SOS 27%Title Game*
#3 LouisvilleNational #27 · 0-0 11.4MPR 7.91Proj Wins #43SOS 28%Title Game*
#5 Virginia TechNational #31 · 0-0 10.2MPR 7.53Proj Wins #55SOS 10%Title Game*
#6 VirginiaNational #32 · 1-0 9.9MPR 8.41Proj Wins #67SOS 7%Title Game* ▲ +3.0
#7 Florida StateNational #36 · 1-0 9.1MPR 6.53Proj Wins #29SOS 5%Title Game*
#8 PittsburghNational #41 · 0-0 6.8MPR 6.87Proj Wins #56SOS 4%Title Game*
#9 Georgia TechNational #42 · 0-0 6.2MPR 5.98Proj Wins #28SOS 5%Title Game*
#10 DukeNational #44 · 0-0 5.7MPR 6.40Proj Wins #47SOS 4%Title Game*
#11 North CarolinaNational #47 · 1-0 5.5MPR 6.25Proj Wins #30SOS 1%Title Game* ▲ +1.5
#12 CaliforniaNational #52 · 0-0 4.0MPR 6.09Proj Wins #59SOS 3%Title Game*
#13 Wake ForestNational #54 · 0-0 3.9MPR 6.11Proj Wins #63SOS 2%Title Game*
#14 NC StateNational #59 · 0-1 2.1MPR 5.58Proj Wins #62SOS 7%Title Game* ▼ 3.0
#15 SyracuseNational #70 · 0-0 -0.8MPR 4.27Proj Wins #36SOS 0%Title Game*
#15 StanfordNational #70 · 1-0 -0.8MPR 4.28Proj Wins #25SOS 0%Title Game* ▲ +1.0
#17 Boston CollegeNational #73 · 0-0 -1.3MPR 3.86Proj Wins #26SOS 0%Title Game*
Data-vintage rule: MPR, national rank and projected wins reflect the current approved Week 1 team state. Title-game and conference-champion probabilities remain the certified preseason simulation.
Evidence In

Week 0 Matrix Moves

Every ACC team that played in Week 0 is shown, including results reviewed without a strength adjustment.

Week 1 Locked

ACC Games on the Board

Current locked Week 1 GameDay Matrix projections for every game involving a ACC team.

SAT, SEP 5Medium
17–28
FavoriteLSU 76%
Projected Total45.1
MON, SEP 7Low-Medium
FavoriteFlorida State 51%
Projected Total51.5
SAT, SEP 5Low
27–27
FavoriteCalifornia 51%
Projected Total54.0
SAT, SEP 5Medium
21–34
FavoriteDuke 81%
Projected Total55.9
SAT, SEP 5Medium
VMI
5–47
FavoriteVirginia Tech 100%
Projected Total52.3
SAT, SEP 5Medium
New Hampshire
19–30
FavoriteSyracuse 77%
Projected Total50.0
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